0xranjan

@0xranjan

#2,921,7929

0xa61ec8072c28fba041a70462ceeb2e08ec486906

~60d· 116 markets · 1415 tradesVol: $409,461 @iammrranjan2026-08-04 22:23:01
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

9
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

27% (31/115)0/20
0.45x (win $5,484 / loss $12,312)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.3560/15
Sortino -2.5230/10
$-0.2203 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 745 (115 markets)8.8/10
11/47 profitable days (23%)0/10
Max DD 1607% of peak ($7,281 / $453)0/10

Badges

2
Lottery Player
62% entries < $0.20
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
🎭 CULTURE#5,185$956Vol: $159,723
📈 ECONOMICS#655,779$-79Vol: $84,361
CRYPTO#1,558,820$-277Vol: $32,180
🌤️ WEATHER#281,744$-76Vol: $30,227
🏛️ POLITICS#1,489,712$-66Vol: $29,634
SPORTS#1,841,326$-1,375Vol: $24,670
📢 MENTIONS#135,261$-13Vol: $11,948
💻 TECH#227,454$-10Vol: $10,000
💰 FINANCE#513,670$-2Vol: $2,490

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-971
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$409,461
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
116
total markets
Trades
767B / 648S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~60d

Periods

#2
Month
$-22
Vol: $710
All Time
$-971
Vol: $409,461

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
27%
31W / 84L events
Realized PnL
$-971
Win Rate
27%
31W / 84L
Profit Factor
0.45x
Avg Win
$177
Avg Loss
$-158

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $4,383 (4.515478999041899% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$2,847
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Pakistan vs Bangladesh$875
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?$662
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$589
ODI Series India vs Afghanistan: India vs Afghanistan$174
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?$70
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$70
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET$49
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET$29
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET$22

Top Losers

ICC T20 World Cup, Women: South Africa vs India$-6,403
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$-1,157
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$-825
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 21?$-504
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$-406
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 101m and 112m?$-288
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?$-275
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$-273
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?$-208
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$-181

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.122
Sortino
-0.115
HHI
763
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.222
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
15.1%
Top-5 markets
56.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
5.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.1h
between trades
Night Trading
23%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.24
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
10.4

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 216s — normal for humanCV 4.24 — diverse sizes (human-like)22% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock6 trades/day — normal0.5 markets/day — normal52% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
12.71
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)61.9%
Mid (20-55c)18.3%
High (>55c)19.8%

Sessions

#12
5/14/2026, 6:38:35 PM3 trades$7,5310 min
6/21/2026, 3:04:20 PM8 trades$5,7442 min
6/21/2026, 8:26:16 AM33 trades$4,8790 min
5/14/2026, 11:01:14 PM17 trades$4,5674 min
5/14/2026, 5:01:47 PM2 trades$4,0000 min
6/21/2026, 8:43:07 AM5 trades$4,0000 min
6/20/2026, 4:47:41 PM2 trades$3,5350 min
6/21/2026, 10:25:31 AM5 trades$3,3981 min
6/21/2026, 1:33:34 PM15 trades$2,8334 min
5/21/2026, 1:06:42 AM69 trades$2,63924 min
5/13/2026, 3:36:43 PM2 trades$2,4900 min
5/22/2026, 3:56:49 PM6 trades$2,4220 min
6/21/2026, 9:59:43 AM27 trades$2,3853 min
6/20/2026, 3:51:32 PM19 trades$2,2319 min
5/14/2026, 11:25:30 AM2 trades$2,2100 min
5/11/2026, 4:33:55 PM26 trades$1,9507 min
6/21/2026, 12:38:40 PM1 trades$1,8250 min
6/21/2026, 5:40:05 AM2 trades$1,8000 min
5/15/2026, 3:33:22 PM4 trades$1,7750 min
7/22/2026, 7:09:45 AM2 trades$1,5000 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-23
12-31
02-26
04-27
05-16
05-26
06-19

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 33 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
2% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
45.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 12.71/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L61.9 / M18.3 / H19.8