0x8712

@0x8712

#8,26714

0xa67685fa5213fd8167977bfb7b3f50c06d511c22

~108d· 322 markets · 7683 tradesVol: $4,008,9862026-08-04 21:24:50
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

14
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

33% (102/311)1.4/20
0.76x (win $163,358 / loss $214,714)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.6530/15
Sortino -1.9370/10
$-0.1195 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 324 (311 markets)10/10
35/86 profitable days (41%)2.7/10
Max DD 201% of peak ($102,412 / $51,055)0/10

Badges

7
Profitable
PnL $+18,897
Lottery Player
57% entries < $0.20
Whale
$429,862 invested
High Roller
$2,204/day
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
90% maker orders

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#2,367$18,144Vol: $2,159,813
🎭 CULTURE#809,536$-830Vol: $1,167,603
💰 FINANCE#647,099$-345Vol: $197,271
📈 ECONOMICS#682,504$-6,315Vol: $180,547
SPORTS#17,181$2,527Vol: $169,344
🌤️ WEATHER#1,120$1,640Vol: $41,829
CRYPTO#26,112$1,332Vol: $36,587
📢 MENTIONS#685$2,231Vol: $32,938
💻 TECH#1,528$893Vol: $22,054

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$18,897
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$4,008,986
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
322
total markets
Trades
6363B / 1320S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~108d

Periods

#2
Today
$112
Vol: $0
Week
$175
Vol: $0
Month
$-13
Vol: $0
All Time
$18,897
Vol: $4,008,986

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
33%
102W / 209L events
Realized PnL
$18,897
Win Rate
33%
102W / 209L
Profit Factor
0.76x
Avg Win
$1,602
Avg Loss
$-1,027

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $54,194 (2.8678673466309856% of PnL)

Top Winners

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?$20,134
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$19,100
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?$14,960
Will Sinners win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?$8,081
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$6,373
Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?$6,300
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?$5,600
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?$5,312
Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?$5,068
Will Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/11-5/17)$4,520

Top Losers

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?$-34,010
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$-23,206
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-19,796
US forces enter Iran by April 30?$-19,120
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$-14,116
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?$-6,420
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?$-5,587
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?$-4,578
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?$-4,427
Will the United States win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?$-4,000

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.086
Sortino
-0.086
HHI
478
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.090
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
11.6%
Top-5 markets
35.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
39.4
Active
Markets / Day
1.7
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
7:00 UTC
Median Gap
42s
between trades
Avg Gap
19.7m
between trades
Night Trading
21%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.28
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
9 min
Avg Trades / Session
29.2

Bot Detection

#6
50
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 42s — normal for humanCV 4.28 — diverse sizes (human-like)21% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock39 trades/day — high frequency1.7 markets/day — normal90% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 7:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
28.39
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)56.7%
Mid (20-55c)23.7%
High (>55c)19.6%

Sessions

#12
4/24/2026, 4:56:20 PM236 trades$73,69348 min
4/24/2026, 12:38:52 PM38 trades$27,05810 min
4/12/2026, 2:53:43 PM56 trades$21,38915 min
4/24/2026, 4:31:06 PM41 trades$21,20119 min
4/28/2026, 1:54:46 PM2 trades$19,9600 min
4/23/2026, 9:24:32 PM95 trades$12,44922 min
4/24/2026, 11:08:48 AM66 trades$9,74810 min
4/12/2026, 3:13:41 PM102 trades$8,89410 min
2/8/2026, 8:58:17 PM27 trades$7,91411 min
3/21/2026, 12:10:43 AM22 trades$7,90027 min
4/14/2026, 5:57:44 PM41 trades$7,8292 min
2/8/2026, 3:39:01 PM8 trades$7,8002 min
7/18/2026, 9:55:03 PM40 trades$7,6385 min
3/30/2026, 4:34:15 PM11 trades$7,2444 min
5/16/2026, 11:55:31 PM4 trades$6,9050 min
4/25/2026, 3:15:54 PM47 trades$6,8099 min
4/15/2026, 9:16:38 AM51 trades$5,8488 min
4/15/2026, 7:02:14 AM4 trades$5,7436 min
2/16/2026, 4:55:47 AM12 trades$5,65813 min
4/24/2026, 5:49:36 PM51 trades$5,65534 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-09
01-24
02-09
03-01
04-23
05-16
07-18

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 85 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
17.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 28.39/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L56.7 / M23.7 / H19.6