@ARD21

#3,068,7449

0xa6a4d69d56c9a1662b93b6b0d45be639f86b6ed6

~8d· 55 markets · 308 tradesVol: $191,9032026-08-04 21:51:53
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

9
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

38% (21/55)4.1/20
0.69x (win $37,171 / loss $54,171)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -4.7050/15
Sortino -5.4480/10
$-0.2165 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1431 (55 markets)5.3/10
2/8 profitable days (25%)0/10
Max DD 285% of peak ($26,171 / $9,171)0/10

Badges

3
Contrarian
64% entries < $0.55
Whale
$78,514 invested
High Roller
$7,138/day

Categories

2
⚽ SPORTS#1,883,147$-25,690Vol: $191,301
₿ CRYPTO#1,229,748$-16Vol: $602

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-25,707
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$191,903
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
55
total markets
Trades
75B / 233S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~8d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
38%
21W / 34L events
Realized PnL
$-25,707
Win Rate
38%
21W / 34L
Profit Factor
0.69x
Avg Win
$1,770
Avg Loss
$-1,593

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $30,029 (1.1681286629327734% of PnL)

Top Winners

Morocco vs. Haiti: Draw at halftime?$23,682
Exact Score: Any Other Score?$3,903
Croatia vs. Ghana: Both Teams to Score$2,444
Algeria vs. Austria: 1st Half O/U 0.5$1,704
Brazil to win the second half?$1,704
Achraf Hakimi: 1+ goals$855
Egypt to score first vs. IR Iran?$400
Norway vs. France: O/U 3.5$305
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?$302
Senegal vs. Iraq: O/U 3.5$276

Top Losers

Portugal leading at halftime?$-22,000
Morocco leading at halftime?$-10,819
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-26?$-4,000
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?$-3,840
Cabo Verde to score first vs. Saudi Arabia?$-2,000
DR Congo leading at halftime?$-2,000
United States vs. Australia: Australia O/U 0.5$-1,054
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?$-1,000
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18?$-800
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?$-800

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.230
Sortino
-0.285
HHI
1768
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.214
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
28%
Top-5 markets
79.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
28.0
Active
Markets / Day
5.0
Active Hours
10/24
Normal
Peak Hour
18:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.4h
between trades
Night Trading
1%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.72
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
36
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
8.6

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 258s — normal for humanCV 2.72 — diverse sizes (human-like)1% night trades — normal pattern10/24 hours — normal schedule28 trades/day — high frequency5.0 markets/day — normal24% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 18:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.8
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)18.7%
Mid (20-55c)45.3%
High (>55c)36%

Sessions

#12
6/24/2026, 10:52:20 PM16 trades$32,3790 min
6/27/2026, 4:44:17 PM38 trades$28,2050 min
6/26/2026, 9:07:25 PM2 trades$23,8940 min
6/26/2026, 6:25:05 PM58 trades$20,96316 min
6/24/2026, 10:37:40 PM11 trades$17,4114 min
6/26/2026, 7:47:46 PM23 trades$12,0300 min
6/24/2026, 9:50:47 PM11 trades$8,8444 min
6/25/2026, 10:12:19 PM7 trades$5,4070 min
6/25/2026, 12:02:58 AM2 trades$3,7000 min
6/24/2026, 10:22:07 PM5 trades$3,5670 min
6/27/2026, 7:06:49 PM10 trades$2,4390 min
6/27/2026, 6:52:01 PM2 trades$2,2220 min
6/24/2026, 11:00:17 PM2 trades$1,8520 min
6/27/2026, 7:28:44 PM4 trades$1,8520 min
6/19/2026, 8:06:44 PM7 trades$1,3460 min
6/18/2026, 8:03:58 AM5 trades$1,3054 min
6/19/2026, 6:23:22 PM4 trades$1,2530 min
6/18/2026, 8:13:31 AM6 trades$1,2314 min
6/25/2026, 6:01:55 PM13 trades$1,1664 min
6/26/2026, 7:26:11 PM9 trades$1,1293 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-17
06-18
06-19
06-23
06-24
06-25
06-26
06-27

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 2 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
75.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.8/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L18.7 / M45.3 / H36