@0xa78d…e2c5

#171,43416

0xa78d40602d49d1a69e668b46d52a844c5283e2c5

~43d· 69 markets · 237 tradesVol: $28,4802026-08-04 22:11:10
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

16
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

39% (25/64)4.5/20
0.78x (win $705 / loss $910)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.0450/15
Sortino -2.7390/10
$-0.0657 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 581 (64 markets)9.6/10
12/31 profitable days (39%)2.2/10
Max DD 349% of peak ($293 / $84)0/10

Badges

3
Profitable
PnL $+207
Contrarian
57% entries < $0.55
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

7
₿ CRYPTO#41,884$534Vol: $8,427
📈 ECONOMICS#639,396$-32Vol: $7,601
🏛️ POLITICS#1,571,945$-237Vol: $5,005
🎭 CULTURE#41,358$28Vol: $4,031
💰 FINANCE#592,671$-18Vol: $2,754
⚽ SPORTS#1,619,748$-61Vol: $622
🌤️ WEATHER#234,572$-6Vol: $40

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$207
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$28,480
Total Redeem
$19
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
69
total markets
Trades
120B / 117S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~43d

Periods

#2
Week
$-0
Vol: $0
All Time
$207
Vol: $28,480

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
39%
25W / 39L events
Realized PnL
$207
Win Rate
39%
25W / 39L
Profit Factor
0.78x
Avg Win
$28
Avg Loss
$-25

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $343 (1.6561051004636786% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$131
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on March 24?$115
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on April 27?$98
Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 March 9-15?$71
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 13?$48
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?$33
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$31
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?$31
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on March 13?$25
Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on April 26?$23

Top Losers

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?$-119
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?$-116
Will Trump cut off trade with Spain?$-111
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on April 29?$-65
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on March 18?$-54
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 12 to March 14, 2026?$-34
Will Trump visit China by May 31?$-31
Will Elon Musk / X (Twitter) acquire TikTok?$-30
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?$-29
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on March 11?$-29

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.105
Sortino
-0.150
HHI
1671
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.048
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
35.9%
Top-5 markets
64%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
8:00 UTC
Median Gap
15.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.6h
between trades
Night Trading
11%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.70
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.7

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 902s — normal for humanCV 1.70 — diverse sizes (human-like)11% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock2 trades/day — normal0.5 markets/day — normal19% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 8:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.08
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)22.5%
Mid (20-55c)34.2%
High (>55c)43.3%

Sessions

#12
6/2/2026, 10:09:28 AM5 trades$1,0080 min
4/10/2026, 5:56:13 PM7 trades$6410 min
4/27/2026, 8:29:10 PM6 trades$2634 min
3/13/2026, 10:38:03 PM2 trades$2202 min
4/27/2026, 4:05:28 AM3 trades$2070 min
3/14/2026, 9:16:25 AM2 trades$2012 min
4/15/2026, 11:50:06 AM10 trades$1823 min
3/24/2026, 11:35:59 PM1 trades$1760 min
3/15/2026, 4:41:35 AM1 trades$1700 min
3/12/2026, 8:17:33 AM2 trades$1372 min
3/7/2026, 3:53:01 AM2 trades$1371 min
3/24/2026, 3:38:57 PM2 trades$1303 min
3/13/2026, 3:39:31 PM1 trades$1290 min
3/14/2026, 8:32:29 AM1 trades$1280 min
3/13/2026, 5:07:35 PM1 trades$1270 min
4/20/2026, 9:06:40 AM2 trades$1210 min
4/13/2026, 7:46:57 AM9 trades$1170 min
3/13/2026, 1:19:51 PM1 trades$1040 min
3/15/2026, 10:09:47 AM1 trades$940 min
4/25/2026, 11:46:20 AM7 trades$904 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-24
03-06
03-14
03-20
03-30
04-27
07-15

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 13 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
49.4% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.08/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L22.5 / M34.2 / H43.3