@AncientWind
#76,062230xa7a5edd79c0332978e227c092af6dbc82f35c417
~54d· 96 markets · 1114 tradesVol: $151,2732026-08-04 16:20:02
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
23
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
52% (46/88)11.1/20
0.62x (win $2,423 / loss $3,920)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -4.2690/15
Sortino -4.6430/10
$-0.1173 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 852 (88 markets)8.2/10
12/26 profitable days (46%)4/10
Max DD 341% of peak ($2,143 / $628)0/10
Badges
4Profitable
PnL $+1,140
Contrarian
53% entries < $0.55
DCA Master
Avg 11.9 entries/market
🦉Night Owl
22/24 hours active
Categories
3🏛️ POLITICS#42,903$214Vol: $113,809
₿ CRYPTO#32,077$915Vol: $37,405
💰 FINANCE#567,820$-9Vol: $60
Overview
#1Net PnL
$1,120
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$151,273
Total Redeem
$1
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
96
total markets
Trades
462B / 652S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~54d
Periods
#2Today
$7
Vol: $0
Week
$-15
Vol: $0
Month
$-5
Vol: $0
All Time
$1,120
Vol: $151,273
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
52%
46W / 42L events
Realized PnL
$1,140
Win Rate
52%
46W / 42L
Profit Factor
0.62x
Avg Win
$53
Avg Loss
$-93
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $955 (0.8378582334462364% of PnL)
Top Winners
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?$618
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET$186
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET$151
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?$150
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET$115
US forces enter Iran by April 30?$114
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET$86
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET$74
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET$65
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$61
Top Losers
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$-785
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$-665
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?$-539
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?$-457
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET$-191
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET$-130
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?$-126
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?$-121
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?$-116
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET$-110
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.219
Sortino
-0.224
HHI
283
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.144
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
8%
Top-5 markets
30.3%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
8.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.8
Active Hours
22/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
2:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.4h
between trades
Night Trading
52%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.08
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
14.2
Bot Detection
#630
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 119s — normal for humanCV 2.08 — diverse sizes (human-like)52% night trades — never sleeps22/24 hours — around the clock9 trades/day — normal0.8 markets/day — normal40% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 2:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
11.85
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)22.5%
Mid (20-55c)30.7%
High (>55c)46.8%
Sessions
#126/18/2026, 4:12:07 PM2 trades$4,0000 min
7/18/2026, 6:14:03 AM22 trades$2,4183 min
7/21/2026, 7:10:18 PM23 trades$1,5794 min
4/6/2026, 4:31:03 PM9 trades$1,1322 min
6/15/2026, 2:37:40 AM25 trades$1,0501 min
4/21/2026, 5:42:24 PM2 trades$9990 min
4/17/2026, 6:50:40 PM7 trades$9350 min
5/6/2026, 8:20:17 PM5 trades$8900 min
4/17/2026, 2:10:52 PM4 trades$8850 min
4/21/2026, 12:37:52 PM7 trades$7860 min
6/19/2026, 2:32:53 AM47 trades$78522 min
6/19/2026, 3:40:19 AM53 trades$58814 min
6/19/2026, 1:58:25 AM96 trades$55025 min
4/22/2026, 8:07:44 PM6 trades$5205 min
7/14/2026, 2:41:26 AM21 trades$5133 min
4/17/2026, 8:43:48 PM6 trades$4830 min
7/24/2026, 5:55:21 AM42 trades$4229 min
5/10/2026, 1:17:11 AM2 trades$4170 min
5/7/2026, 5:46:36 PM6 trades$4000 min
7/14/2026, 2:30:44 AM19 trades$3924 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-25
04-05
04-26
06-15
07-14
07-21
07-28
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 91 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
58.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 11.85/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L22.5 / M30.7 / H46.8