@Rokn

#124,44914

0xa81b77d11ce6cf840929ff1a1ffeeba151a858ca

~16d· 22 markets · 205 tradesVol: $16,1232026-08-04 21:24:18
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

14
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

38% (8/21)4/20
0.37x (win $1,895 / loss $5,125)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.9150/15
Sortino -3.9800/10
$-0.5042 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1037 (21 markets)7.3/10
5/12 profitable days (42%)2.9/10
Max DD 355% of peak ($4,867 / $1,370)0/10

Badges

1
Profitable
PnL $+426

Categories

6
🎭 CULTURE#10,990$296Vol: $7,631
💰 FINANCE#15,324$137Vol: $4,009
💻 TECH#6,278$91Vol: $1,641
🏛️ POLITICS#1,088,802$-4Vol: $1,634
CRYPTO#1,448,667$-85Vol: $1,025
SPORTS#1,361,709$-11Vol: $182

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$426
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$16,123
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
22
total markets
Trades
44B / 161S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~16d

Periods

#2
Today
$33
Vol: $0
Week
$8
Vol: $654
Month
$42
Vol: $654
All Time
$426
Vol: $16,123

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
38%
8W / 13L events
Realized PnL
$426
Win Rate
38%
8W / 13L
Profit Factor
0.37x
Avg Win
$237
Avg Loss
$-569

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,574 (3.6984350768363177% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$1,176
Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in May 2026?$205
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$192
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$172
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?$76
Will Bulgaria be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$36
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$32
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$5

Top Losers

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$-4,497
Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in May 2026?$-199
Will Elon Musk post 920-959 tweets in May 2026?$-124
Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in May 2026?$-124
Will Elon Musk post 960-999 tweets in May 2026?$-114
Will Elon Musk post 1000-1039 tweets in May 2026?$-29
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET$-12
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$-8

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.196
Sortino
-0.150
HHI
2186
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.434
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
35.1%
Top-5 markets
94.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
13/24
Extended
Peak Hour
11:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
43.4m
between trades
Night Trading
0%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.17
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
25
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
8.2

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 70s — normal for humanCV 1.17 — diverse sizes (human-like)0% night trades — normal pattern13/24 hours — normal schedule2 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal21% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 11:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
10.33
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)25%
Mid (20-55c)6.8%
High (>55c)68.2%

Sessions

#12
5/20/2026, 8:17:41 PM40 trades$1,3203 min
5/30/2026, 11:28:31 AM24 trades$1,0300 min
7/16/2026, 1:53:31 PM5 trades$7440 min
6/10/2026, 8:10:54 AM10 trades$7070 min
8/2/2026, 12:58:32 PM18 trades$6540 min
5/16/2026, 8:51:08 PM8 trades$6400 min
5/21/2026, 11:08:07 AM19 trades$5890 min
5/20/2026, 7:58:03 PM2 trades$5860 min
7/16/2026, 2:04:38 PM2 trades$5620 min
7/31/2026, 9:57:18 PM2 trades$5620 min
5/21/2026, 11:02:22 AM23 trades$4420 min
7/1/2026, 6:45:40 PM3 trades$4292 min
6/6/2026, 8:11:52 AM2 trades$4170 min
6/10/2026, 7:48:16 AM2 trades$4170 min
6/3/2026, 11:01:22 PM2 trades$4000 min
5/15/2026, 9:17:12 AM5 trades$3930 min
5/18/2026, 4:39:18 PM6 trades$3211 min
5/16/2026, 8:59:18 PM5 trades$2600 min
5/16/2026, 9:38:51 PM4 trades$1390 min
4/6/2026, 4:07:29 PM2 trades$460 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-06
05-15
05-18
05-21
06-10
07-16

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 47 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
78.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 10.33/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L25 / M6.8 / H68.2