@0xa834…7848

59

0xa83424f031bcd0bbd1faa0ac8efa9b27e34f7848

~22d· 38 markets · 60 trades2026-08-03 17:38:11
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

59
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

33% (12/36)1.7/20
1.80x (win $115 / loss $64)12.5/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.64115/15
Sortino 8.75310/10
$+0.4604 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 1855 (36 markets)3.2/10
5/14 profitable days (36%)1.4/10
Max DD 44% of peak ($39 / $90)5.3/10

Badges

2
Profitable
PnL $+47
Lottery Player
57% entries < $0.20

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$47
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$111
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
38
total markets
Trades
40B / 20S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~22d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
33%
12W / 24L events
Realized PnL
$47
Win Rate
33%
12W / 24L
Profit Factor
1.8x
Avg Win
$10
Avg Loss
$-3

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $107 (2.2574382781177462% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in November?$95
Will Trump talk to Emmanuel Macron in November?$8
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu again before 2026?$4
Will Joe Biden be named in newly released Epstein files?$4
Will Stephen Hawking be named in newly released Epstein files?$1
Nothing Ever Happens: Russia Edition$1
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?$1
Maduro out in 2025?$0
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together by August 31?$0
Will MrBeast raise $40M for clean water by August 31?$0

Top Losers

Will Charlie Kirk be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$-8
D4vd arrested by December 31?$-6
Boxing: Canelo Álvarez vs. Terence Crawford $-6
Will Trump say "Moscow" this week? (December 1 - 7)$-5
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET$-5
Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in December?$-4
Will NVIDIA say "VR / Virtual Reality" during earnings call?$-4
Will Trump talk to Ahmed Al Shara in December?$-3
Will Trump say "N Word" in December?$-3
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$-2

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.133
Sortino
0.415
HHI
350
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.486
Kelly %
13.3%
Half-Kelly
6.6%
Top-1 market
7.2%
Top-5 markets
27.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
15/24
Extended
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
7.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.4h
between trades
Night Trading
2%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.58
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
41
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.5

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
MEDIUM
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 420s — normal for humanCV 0.58 — diverse sizes (human-like)2% night trades — normal pattern15/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal2% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 20:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.53
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)57.5%
Mid (20-55c)37.5%
High (>55c)5%

Sessions

#12
11/24/2025, 3:24:43 PM1 trades$1000 min
7/14/2026, 10:01:10 PM3 trades$720 min
2/16/2026, 9:36:21 PM5 trades$1611 min
11/23/2025, 4:23:53 PM1 trades$130 min
8/9/2025, 1:21:51 PM4 trades$116 min
12/4/2025, 8:45:51 PM6 trades$105 min
12/1/2025, 10:04:06 PM1 trades$100 min
12/4/2025, 8:27:13 PM2 trades$84 min
12/4/2025, 8:58:09 PM2 trades$71 min
12/2/2025, 9:40:26 AM2 trades$70 min
11/23/2025, 7:50:29 PM1 trades$60 min
11/20/2025, 3:07:11 PM1 trades$60 min
11/14/2025, 12:46:26 PM2 trades$54 min
11/18/2025, 8:25:49 PM1 trades$50 min
12/2/2025, 7:27:11 PM1 trades$40 min
12/2/2025, 9:22:15 PM1 trades$40 min
11/15/2025, 10:24:24 PM1 trades$40 min
11/19/2025, 1:55:27 PM1 trades$40 min
2/10/2026, 12:32:07 PM1 trades$40 min
11/29/2025, 2:30:31 PM1 trades$40 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
08-09
08-11
11-15
11-23
11-28
12-02
12-17

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 77 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
33.3% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.53/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L57.5 / M37.5 / H5