@pautthead

#2,694,13911

0xa8837bfc6357d8581be4bdd9561b7140db94bab7

~36d· 275 markets · 504 tradesVol: $23,8522026-08-04 18:13:58
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

11
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

16% (43/272)0/20
0.15x (win $22 / loss $144)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -6.0820/15
Sortino -5.8090/10
$-0.2730 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 528 (272 markets)9.9/10
11/33 profitable days (33%)0.8/10
Max DD 3519% of peak ($126 / $4)0/10

Badges

3
Lottery Player
80% entries < $0.20
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
84% maker orders

Categories

4
₿ CRYPTO#1,412,055$-59Vol: $16,196
🌤️ WEATHER#285,300$-102Vol: $7,476
🏛️ POLITICS#1,404,274$-26Vol: $160
💰 FINANCE#426,270$-0Vol: $20

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-188
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$23,852
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
275
total markets
Trades
424B / 80S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~36d

Periods

#2
Today
$-2
Vol: $38
Week
$-99
Vol: $767
Month
$-95
Vol: $1,397
All Time
$-188
Vol: $23,852

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
16%
43W / 229L events
Realized PnL
$-188
Win Rate
16%
43W / 229L
Profit Factor
0.15x
Avg Win
$1
Avg Loss
$-1

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $7 (0.03988907849829351% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on June 28?$3
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?$3
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 39°C on June 26?$2
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 35°C on August 3?$1
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on July 1?$1
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 104-105°F on July 3?$1
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 27?$1
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on June 27?$1
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 12°C on July 4?$1
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on June 29?$1

Top Losers

Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 3?$-67
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on June 28?$-19
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on July 9?$-6
Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in July?$-6
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on July 9?$-4
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on July 8?$-4
XRP Up or Down - July 10, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET$-2
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C or higher on July 16?$-2
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 13?$-1
Ethereum Up or Down - July 10, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET$-1

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.314
Sortino
-0.267
HHI
342
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.309
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
15%
Top-5 markets
26.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
11.5
Active
Markets / Day
6.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
0:00 UTC
Median Gap
25.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.7h
between trades
Night Trading
36%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.19
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.8

Bot Detection

#6
40
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1506s — normal for humanCV 2.19 — diverse sizes (human-like)36% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock11 trades/day — very active6.2 markets/day — normal84% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 0:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.8
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)80.2%
Mid (20-55c)1.7%
High (>55c)18.2%

Sessions

#12
7/10/2026, 9:24:55 AM12 trades$12310 min
8/3/2026, 2:04:45 AM15 trades$469 min
6/21/2026, 11:03:19 PM3 trades$250 min
6/22/2026, 12:07:20 AM6 trades$230 min
6/27/2026, 12:07:59 AM5 trades$220 min
8/3/2026, 2:38:26 AM5 trades$213 min
8/3/2026, 1:04:12 AM2 trades$130 min
6/28/2026, 1:50:23 AM3 trades$120 min
7/6/2026, 8:00:55 PM2 trades$120 min
7/6/2026, 4:52:07 PM2 trades$120 min
6/26/2026, 9:32:22 AM3 trades$110 min
6/28/2026, 1:39:22 AM3 trades$110 min
6/29/2026, 7:59:23 AM2 trades$100 min
6/28/2026, 1:32:44 AM2 trades$100 min
6/21/2026, 6:38:47 PM1 trades$100 min
7/6/2026, 5:30:07 PM2 trades$100 min
7/2/2026, 12:16:20 PM1 trades$100 min
7/3/2026, 7:35:07 AM2 trades$90 min
7/3/2026, 7:55:05 AM1 trades$90 min
7/3/2026, 8:04:52 AM1 trades$90 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-26
07-02
07-07
07-12
07-18
07-26
07-31

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 37 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
76% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
15.9% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.8/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L80.2 / M1.7 / H18.2