Hotarubizz

@Hotarubizz

#2,787,99943

0xa8ebbb8b517ccc4affe38c0ab6f2e9ed1e4b0acb

~19d· 236 markets · 924 tradesVol: $39,5482026-08-04 23:19:32
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

43
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

43% (102/236)6.6/20
1.04x (win $7,035 / loss $6,777)3/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.54110.1/15
Sortino 0.7687.7/10
$+0.0221 per $1 invested1.1/10
HHI 81 (236 markets)10/10
55/114 profitable days (48%)4.6/10
Max DD 96% of peak ($741 / $771)0/10

Badges

1
Contrarian
58% entries < $0.55

Categories

1
SPORTS#1,784,591$-404Vol: $38,786

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-313
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$39,548
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
236
total markets
Trades
370B / 554S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~19d

Periods

#2
Today
$-104
Vol: $657
Week
$-230
Vol: $5,348
Month
$-221
Vol: $7,884
All Time
$-313
Vol: $39,548

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
43%
102W / 134L events
Realized PnL
$-313
Win Rate
43%
102W / 134L
Profit Factor
1.04x
Avg Win
$69
Avg Loss
$-53

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $759 (2.420877998979071% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will CSyD Defensa y Justicia win on 2026-07-29?$341
Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-07-31?$234
Will Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC vs. Daejeon Hana Citizen FC end in a draw?$184
Will CA Mineiro vs. EC Bahia end in a draw?$161
Spread: Chicago Fire FC (-1.5)$154
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-07-29?$150
Will Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC win on 2026-08-01?$141
Will New York City FC vs. Toronto FC end in a draw?$134
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-07-22?$114
Will AC Goianiense win on 2026-07-27?$113

Top Losers

Will CF Pachuca win on 2026-07-26?$-202
Will New York City FC win on 2026-07-31?$-174
Will CA Huracán win on 2026-08-03?$-170
Will Rangers FC win on 2026-07-31?$-158
Will Atlético San Luis win on 2026-07-31?$-150
Will Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC end in a draw?$-139
Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-07-26?$-128
Will Heart of Midlothian FC win on 2026-07-28?$-114
Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2026-07-26?$-114
Will Randers FC win on 2026-07-27?$-114

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.028
Sortino
0.043
HHI
89
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.022
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
3.7%
Top-5 markets
12.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
48.6
Active
Markets / Day
12.4
Active Hours
21/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
0:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.1h
between trades
Night Trading
28%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.90
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
9.4

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
MEDIUM
Median gap 117s — normal for humanCV 0.90 — diverse sizes (human-like)28% night trades — never sleeps21/24 hours — extended activity49 trades/day — high frequency12 markets/day — mass coverage40% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 0:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.92
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0.5%
Mid (20-55c)57%
High (>55c)42.4%

Sessions

#12
8/2/2026, 2:35:08 AM16 trades$6374 min
7/30/2026, 2:37:50 AM6 trades$5890 min
7/23/2026, 1:41:25 AM18 trades$5696 min
7/29/2026, 10:24:35 PM4 trades$5682 min
8/2/2026, 2:13:27 AM15 trades$5492 min
8/1/2026, 11:33:47 PM26 trades$5449 min
8/1/2026, 5:10:27 AM4 trades$5390 min
7/26/2026, 1:46:00 AM11 trades$4690 min
8/2/2026, 2:38:29 PM6 trades$4620 min
7/27/2026, 9:49:33 PM13 trades$4293 min
8/3/2026, 9:10:20 PM11 trades$3845 min
7/22/2026, 11:33:40 PM15 trades$3713 min
7/29/2026, 8:01:30 PM11 trades$3701 min
7/30/2026, 12:26:06 AM10 trades$3442 min
7/25/2026, 11:25:51 PM14 trades$3396 min
7/17/2026, 12:40:20 AM14 trades$33310 min
7/24/2026, 12:34:13 AM4 trades$3310 min
8/2/2026, 12:46:02 AM16 trades$3153 min
7/26/2026, 9:19:07 PM21 trades$3102 min
7/28/2026, 12:39:51 AM4 trades$3090 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
2026-03-22 18:15:00
2026-07-18 23:00:00
2026-07-23 01:30:00
2026-07-25 21:30:00
2026-07-28 18:45:00
2026-08-01 23:00:00

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
60% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.92/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0.5 / M57 / H42.4