@tigerbite

#2,893,71742

0xa8fca7088370e81c124b0f582f456ff3128cd760

~24d· 57 markets · 285 tradesVol: $21,7742026-08-05 05:04:05
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

42
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

26% (15/57)0/20
1.18x (win $1,136 / loss $961)4.8/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.04515/15
Sortino 1.65810/10
$+0.0638 per $1 invested3.2/10
HHI 932 (57 markets)7.8/10
8/23 profitable days (35%)1.2/10
Max DD 68% of peak ($380 / $555)0.3/10

Badges

1
Lottery Player
55% entries < $0.20

Categories

6
🎭 CULTURE#677,288$-9Vol: $11,542
🌤️ WEATHER#256,160$-16Vol: $5,624
SPORTS#1,809,576$-654Vol: $4,000
📢 MENTIONS#156,184$-50Vol: $565
🏛️ POLITICS#209,920$6Vol: $32
CRYPTO#996,765$-4Vol: $11

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-727
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$21,774
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
57
total markets
Trades
110B / 175S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~24d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
26%
15W / 42L events
Realized PnL
$-727
Win Rate
26%
15W / 42L
Profit Factor
1.18x
Avg Win
$76
Avg Loss
$-25

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $837 (1.1514626159222874% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?$418
Will France win on 2026-07-09?$237
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?$182
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?$135
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?$53
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$50
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?$25
Will Trump dance during National Agriculture Day event?$11
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 23°C or higher on March 28?$7
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?$6

Top Losers

UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)$-380
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?$-69
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?$-60
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?$-55
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$-41
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?$-40
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?$-40
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?$-39
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$-33
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?$-27

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.053
Sortino
0.073
HHI
1399
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.064
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
29.8%
Top-5 markets
67.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.5
Active Hours
19/24
Extended
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.5h
between trades
Night Trading
11%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.68
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.6

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 186s — normal for humanCV 2.68 — diverse sizes (human-like)11% night trades — normal pattern19/24 hours — extended activity3 trades/day — normal0.5 markets/day — normal22% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.04
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)55.5%
Mid (20-55c)22.7%
High (>55c)21.8%

Sessions

#12
7/9/2026, 10:12:28 PM4 trades$1,1360 min
7/10/2026, 9:30:52 PM2 trades$1,0090 min
7/11/2026, 1:02:29 PM2 trades$6130 min
6/9/2026, 3:39:19 PM2 trades$5000 min
6/7/2026, 10:12:07 PM13 trades$3841 min
6/9/2026, 3:26:34 PM4 trades$3050 min
6/18/2026, 12:17:40 PM21 trades$2952 min
6/23/2026, 4:06:53 PM8 trades$2823 min
6/4/2026, 6:01:57 AM11 trades$2594 min
7/9/2026, 8:48:47 PM2 trades$2410 min
6/9/2026, 3:47:43 PM24 trades$2294 min
4/3/2026, 9:37:05 AM4 trades$2244 min
6/23/2026, 3:19:20 PM2 trades$1500 min
6/9/2026, 9:24:42 PM6 trades$1350 min
6/21/2026, 9:18:58 AM10 trades$1310 min
4/2/2026, 9:15:21 AM5 trades$1210 min
6/9/2026, 10:14:39 PM8 trades$1030 min
6/7/2026, 3:22:33 PM5 trades$910 min
6/19/2026, 5:25:20 AM8 trades$911 min
6/7/2026, 9:01:58 PM2 trades$870 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-26
03-30
04-03
06-04
06-10
06-23
06-27
07-10

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 1 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
4% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
61.4% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.04/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L55.5 / M22.7 / H21.8