@agurets
#2,640,389100xa90ea765fd6ae21e3277d9f97e3ad6c149411400
~55d· 210 markets · 382 tradesVol: $43,4762026-08-04 19:59:11
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
10
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
46% (96/209)8/20
0.94x (win $259 / loss $275)1.8/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.3020/15
Sortino -0.8100/10
$-0.0470 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 2376 (209 markets)0.6/10
7/49 profitable days (14%)0/10
Max DD 241% of peak ($123 / $51)0/10
Badges
2Lottery Player
82% entries < $0.20
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
Categories
9🏛️ POLITICS#1,435,199$-36Vol: $20,724
₿ CRYPTO#1,238,168$-17Vol: $3,902
💻 TECH#41,562$1Vol: $3,616
💰 FINANCE#603,338$-26Vol: $3,347
📢 MENTIONS#138,620$-16Vol: $3,129
🎭 CULTURE#712,693$-16Vol: $3,101
🌤️ WEATHER#223,749$-4Vol: $3,088
📈 ECONOMICS#630,019$-22Vol: $1,760
⚽ SPORTS#1,145,716$-3Vol: $677
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-141
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$43,476
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
210
total markets
Trades
227B / 155S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~55d
Periods
#2Month
$-0
Vol: $0
All Time
$-141
Vol: $43,476
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
46%
96W / 113L events
Realized PnL
$-141
Win Rate
46%
96W / 113L
Profit Factor
0.94x
Avg Win
$3
Avg Loss
$-3
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $210 (1.4893059490084986% of PnL)
Top Winners
US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?$102
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET$84
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$24
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?$5
Will Elon Musk post 1400+ tweets in March 2026?$4
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament?$4
Will Argentina’s monthly inflation in March 2026 be between 3.1% and 3.3%?$3
US x Iran meeting by February 28, 2026?$3
Will there be 5 or fewer US strikes on Somalia in March 2026?$3
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 22?$2
Top Losers
GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?$-23
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?$-21
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?$-17
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 5, 2026?$-15
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 100m?$-11
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$-10
Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by July 31, 2026?$-9
Will Elon Musk post 1320-1359 tweets in March 2026?$-7
The Devil Wears Prada 2 vs. Michael Opening Weekend Box Office$-6
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?$-5
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.016
Sortino
-0.052
HHI
199
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.045
Kelly %
23.4%
Half-Kelly
11.7%
Top-1 market
4.7%
Top-5 markets
20.6%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
1.0
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.5
Active Hours
21/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
12:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.7h
between trades
Night Trading
7%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.24
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.2
Bot Detection
#65
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 75s — normal for humanCV 1.24 — diverse sizes (human-like)7% night trades — normal pattern21/24 hours — extended activity1 trades/day — normal0.5 markets/day — normal27% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 12:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
2.19
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)82.4%
Mid (20-55c)3.1%
High (>55c)14.5%
Sessions
#124/10/2026, 8:05:49 AM2 trades$1,0000 min
4/5/2026, 8:07:05 AM2 trades$5010 min
4/11/2026, 6:58:31 AM2 trades$4000 min
6/24/2026, 9:37:28 PM7 trades$2012 min
7/1/2026, 12:16:38 AM13 trades$18811 min
4/29/2026, 10:55:48 AM6 trades$1471 min
4/12/2026, 8:56:27 PM7 trades$1090 min
7/25/2026, 1:12:00 PM5 trades$1001 min
4/15/2026, 1:38:00 PM4 trades$771 min
7/1/2026, 4:57:40 PM14 trades$413 min
6/24/2026, 5:47:52 PM6 trades$342 min
4/8/2026, 6:33:35 AM2 trades$300 min
7/10/2026, 3:36:07 PM2 trades$270 min
3/27/2026, 12:47:03 PM66 trades$205 min
3/17/2026, 11:23:51 PM12 trades$1611 min
3/16/2026, 11:28:15 AM2 trades$142 min
6/28/2025, 3:20:39 AM4 trades$124 min
7/2/2026, 7:11:05 AM4 trades$111 min
3/3/2026, 9:59:29 PM12 trades$1110 min
7/5/2026, 4:05:22 AM7 trades$100 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-28
10-29
03-06
03-21
03-29
04-29
07-25
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
2% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
40.6% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.19/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L82.4 / M3.1 / H14.5