matthew-1996

@matthew-1996

#475,29924

0xa92fe4bb3c4464051dfe2b8ee087f7ef81b0ce85

~79d· 147 markets · 292 tradesVol: $2,323 @SergijMali608922026-08-04 19:18:52
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

24
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

48% (68/142)8.9/20
0.97x (win $365 / loss $375)2.2/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.1890/15
Sortino -0.2600/10
$-0.0121 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 176 (142 markets)10/10
30/70 profitable days (43%)3.2/10
Max DD 228% of peak ($135 / $59)0/10

Badges

3
Profitable
PnL $+12
Contrarian
50% entries < $0.55
Win Streak
6 wins in a row

Categories

8
SPORTS#170,262$47Vol: $1,274
🏛️ POLITICS#136,630$19Vol: $537
CRYPTO#1,341,584$-35Vol: $246
🎭 CULTURE#591,867$-2Vol: $87
🌤️ WEATHER#256,889$-17Vol: $80
📈 ECONOMICS#559,071$-4Vol: $59
💰 FINANCE#132,629$1Vol: $21
📢 MENTIONS#33,653$2Vol: $8

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$12
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$2,323
Total Redeem
$93
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
147
total markets
Trades
177B / 115S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~79d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$0
Vol: $0
Month
$1
Vol: $0
All Time
$12
Vol: $2,323

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
48%
68W / 74L events
Realized PnL
$12
Win Rate
48%
68W / 74L
Profit Factor
0.98x
Avg Win
$5
Avg Loss
$-6

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $109 (9.216033755274262% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$51
Will Trump visit China by March 31?$29
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$29
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: Both Teams to Score$20
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Score$19
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5$15
Will Club Brugge KV vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?$9
Galatasaray SK vs. Juventus FC: Both Teams to Score$7
Villarreal CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Score$7
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-25?$7

Top Losers

Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?$-44
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?$-44
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$-16
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?$-16
Galatasaray SK vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Score$-13
Will France win Eurovision 2026?$-12
Chelsea FC vs. Newcastle United FC: Both Teams to Score$-11
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-25?$-11
Sevilla FC vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Score$-10
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?$-8

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.010
Sortino
-0.012
HHI
228
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.010
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
7.2%
Top-5 markets
24.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.9
Active Hours
15/24
Extended
Peak Hour
11:00 UTC
Median Gap
7.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
5.1h
between trades
Night Trading
0%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.80
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.2

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 464s — normal for humanCV 0.80 — diverse sizes (human-like)0% night trades — normal pattern15/24 hours — normal schedule2 trades/day — normal0.9 markets/day — normal29% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 11:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.36
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)10.2%
Mid (20-55c)40.1%
High (>55c)49.7%

Sessions

#12
7/16/2026, 8:13:46 AM4 trades$481 min
4/3/2026, 9:26:51 AM2 trades$460 min
4/2/2026, 12:16:19 PM5 trades$433 min
5/6/2026, 6:18:50 PM2 trades$390 min
2/28/2026, 12:50:37 PM3 trades$277 min
4/18/2026, 12:36:30 PM2 trades$250 min
3/10/2026, 5:16:43 PM3 trades$243 min
4/27/2026, 7:55:58 AM4 trades$241 min
5/9/2026, 11:37:59 AM8 trades$223 min
4/15/2026, 11:06:04 AM5 trades$213 min
4/3/2026, 1:10:23 PM4 trades$194 min
4/26/2026, 7:04:56 PM4 trades$180 min
5/29/2026, 1:32:13 PM2 trades$170 min
3/6/2026, 7:49:19 AM2 trades$162 min
4/4/2026, 11:29:17 AM8 trades$168 min
5/2/2026, 6:41:38 PM6 trades$157 min
3/14/2026, 1:01:19 PM2 trades$153 min
5/17/2026, 11:18:03 AM6 trades$144 min
4/28/2026, 6:07:28 PM2 trades$140 min
3/6/2026, 5:38:43 PM4 trades$1410 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-05
02-28
03-11
03-26
04-13
05-03
05-29

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 86 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
39.4% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.36/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L10.2 / M40.1 / H49.7