@scasza

#2,302,71239

0xa9a10c1186e874be6352baa8844f17b9014e966c

~79d· 217 markets · 1935 tradesVol: $11,5812026-08-04 23:41:41
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

39
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

68% (74/109)18.9/20
0.67x (win $272 / loss $406)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.1100/15
Sortino -2.5520/10
$-0.0176 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 167 (109 markets)10/10
33/48 profitable days (69%)9.7/10
Max DD 263% of peak ($216 / $82)0/10

Badges

5
Sniper
Win rate 68%
DCA Master
Avg 7.8 entries/market
Consistent
33/48 profitable days
Win Streak
8 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

8
🏛️ POLITICS#1,340,115$-15Vol: $6,088
SPORTS#1,418,327$-15Vol: $3,229
CRYPTO#370,335$2Vol: $855
🌤️ WEATHER#218,170$-3Vol: $555
💰 FINANCE#549,098$-5Vol: $368
🎭 CULTURE#646,315$-5Vol: $341
📈 ECONOMICS#432,143$-1Vol: $130
📢 MENTIONS#51,492$0Vol: $7

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-42
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$11,581
Total Redeem
$54
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
217
total markets
Trades
1002B / 933S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~79d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$0
Vol: $0
Month
$0
Vol: $0
All Time
$-42
Vol: $11,581

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
68%
74W / 35L events
Realized PnL
$-42
Win Rate
68%
74W / 35L
Profit Factor
0.67x
Avg Win
$4
Avg Loss
$-12

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $156 (3.6781745093402693% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?$95
Will Neymar score 1+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$41
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$20
Will Trump meet with Giorgia Meloni in July 2026?$17
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$17
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 Superheavy explode?$15
Will 2+ matches be suspended by weather protocol during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$11
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$9
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$8

Top Losers

Will "Music, Fashion, Film" - Charli XCX first week album sales be greater than 80k?$-110
Will there be 10+ missed penalties during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-91
Will NYC have between 5 and 6 inches of precipitation in July?$-77
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-54
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$-33
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$-23
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.00 and $5.00 on July 31, 2026?$-5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 12AM ET$-5
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$-4
Knicks vs. Nets$-2

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.109
Sortino
-0.085
HHI
34
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.040
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
1.7%
Top-5 markets
7.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
13.6
Active
Markets / Day
1.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
28.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.4h
between trades
Night Trading
28%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.70
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.5

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1727s — normal for humanCV 0.70 — diverse sizes (human-like)28% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock14 trades/day — very active1.5 markets/day — normal47% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
7.79
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)5.1%
Mid (20-55c)1.2%
High (>55c)93.7%

Sessions

#12
6/12/2026, 8:42:51 PM3 trades$1340 min
7/16/2026, 6:41:01 PM4 trades$1300 min
7/16/2026, 12:13:07 AM3 trades$1240 min
6/12/2026, 9:13:33 PM5 trades$1231 min
6/12/2026, 10:24:16 PM3 trades$1160 min
6/12/2026, 3:17:01 PM2 trades$911 min
6/12/2026, 3:42:12 PM5 trades$871 min
6/12/2026, 2:04:06 PM10 trades$820 min
5/6/2026, 2:05:34 PM13 trades$580 min
5/25/2026, 1:54:37 AM11 trades$550 min
7/16/2026, 8:43:28 AM5 trades$551 min
7/16/2026, 2:02:35 AM1 trades$400 min
7/16/2026, 7:08:31 PM1 trades$400 min
6/13/2026, 1:45:58 AM1 trades$380 min
6/14/2026, 3:07:10 AM1 trades$380 min
6/13/2026, 1:39:51 AM1 trades$380 min
6/13/2026, 8:06:31 AM1 trades$380 min
7/27/2026, 2:19:51 AM1 trades$370 min
7/10/2026, 8:18:55 AM8 trades$330 min
5/28/2026, 10:45:02 PM4 trades$264 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-08
03-21
04-07
05-10
05-30
06-18

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 34 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
48.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 7.79/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L5.1 / M1.2 / H93.7