@playedwell
#3,025,249100xa9ec5fe07af7e7654803e6dcf9dd40be8a2e710a
~13d· 75 markets · 680 tradesVol: $181,2822026-08-05 16:51:25
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
10
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
30% (22/74)0/20
0.17x (win $708 / loss $4,176)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -18.0800/15
Sortino -13.1910/10
$-0.6935 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 557 (74 markets)9.7/10
2/13 profitable days (15%)0/10
Max DD 4928% of peak ($3,540 / $72)0/10
Badges
2Lottery Player
32% entries < $0.20
🦉Night Owl
23/24 hours active
Categories
3🌤️ WEATHER#282,218$-78Vol: $81,064
₿ CRYPTO#1,636,461$-1,493Vol: $61,946
⚽ SPORTS#1,838,204$-1,230Vol: $34,707
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-3,045
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$181,282
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
75
total markets
Trades
201B / 479S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~13d
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
30%
22W / 52L events
Realized PnL
$-3,045
Win Rate
30%
22W / 52L
Profit Factor
0.17x
Avg Win
$32
Avg Loss
$-85
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $393 (0.12918914836112141% of PnL)
Top Winners
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET$184
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on July 4?$117
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET$92
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?$82
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C on June 30?$69
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 33°C on July 3?$46
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 30?$45
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET$18
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on June 29?$12
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 90-91°F on July 3?$11
Top Losers
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET$-898
Norway vs. England: O/U 3.5$-393
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET$-374
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?$-307
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET$-243
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET$-190
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET$-181
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET$-174
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on June 29?$-166
T20 Series England vs India: England vs India$-100
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.909
Sortino
-0.988
HHI
393
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.725
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
9.4%
Top-5 markets
35.3%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
40.0
Active
Markets / Day
4.4
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
4:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.3h
between trades
Night Trading
45%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.81
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
11.4
Bot Detection
#645
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 242s — normal for humanCV 1.81 — diverse sizes (human-like)45% night trades — never sleeps23/24 hours — around the clock40 trades/day — high frequency4.4 markets/day — normal30% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 4:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
8.89
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)31.8%
Mid (20-55c)27.4%
High (>55c)40.8%
Sessions
#127/2/2026, 3:44:31 PM6 trades$2,3600 min
7/2/2026, 10:31:53 AM5 trades$2,1200 min
7/13/2026, 4:31:52 AM106 trades$1,8810 min
7/8/2026, 8:09:46 AM24 trades$1,4014 min
7/3/2026, 1:44:49 AM25 trades$7481 min
7/8/2026, 9:20:46 AM30 trades$6791 min
7/11/2026, 12:11:44 PM2 trades$5700 min
7/3/2026, 4:11:50 AM40 trades$4741 min
7/8/2026, 2:06:55 AM3 trades$4730 min
6/30/2026, 11:45:46 AM15 trades$4551 min
7/7/2026, 7:49:37 AM40 trades$44915 min
6/27/2026, 10:44:01 PM5 trades$4411 min
7/8/2026, 2:13:59 AM7 trades$4190 min
6/27/2026, 10:56:02 PM2 trades$3780 min
7/3/2026, 1:54:46 AM18 trades$3690 min
7/4/2026, 2:36:31 PM28 trades$2870 min
7/8/2026, 7:05:50 AM7 trades$2845 min
6/28/2026, 8:58:16 AM4 trades$2490 min
7/1/2026, 12:20:13 PM11 trades$2174 min
6/30/2026, 4:10:10 PM6 trades$2100 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-27
06-29
07-01
07-03
07-06
07-08
07-13
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 16 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
44% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
70.4% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 8.89/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L31.8 / M27.4 / H40.8