@jofo

#174,42730

0xaa041cdd6f991d588f8f387e7f1046a82d9a66e7

~200d· 125 markets · 767 tradesVol: $135,7032026-08-04 22:10:57
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

30
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

58% (67/116)13.9/20
0.33x (win $2,039 / loss $6,118)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.6030/15
Sortino -3.6310/10
$-0.1581 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 420 (116 markets)10/10
53/95 profitable days (56%)6.4/10
Max DD 898% of peak ($4,590 / $511)0/10

Badges

6
Profitable
PnL $+199
Contrarian
53% entries < $0.55
DCA Master
Avg 6.3 entries/market
Win Streak
7 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
72% maker orders

Categories

8
🏛️ POLITICS#125,081$24Vol: $82,446
🌤️ WEATHER#273,834$-43Vol: $21,870
⚽ SPORTS#1,536,563$-33Vol: $10,759
₿ CRYPTO#81,642$124Vol: $9,651
🎭 CULTURE#14,842$178Vol: $7,213
📈 ECONOMICS#624,724$-19Vol: $2,372
💻 TECH#240,592$-32Vol: $1,236
📢 MENTIONS#98,777$-2Vol: $32

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$199
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$135,703
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
125
total markets
Trades
451B / 316S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~200d

Periods

#2
Today
$1
Vol: $0
Week
$-2
Vol: $0
Month
$2
Vol: $0
All Time
$199
Vol: $135,703

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
58%
67W / 49L events
Realized PnL
$199
Win Rate
58%
67W / 49L
Profit Factor
0.33x
Avg Win
$30
Avg Loss
$-127

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $776 (3.89613126599428% of PnL)

Top Winners

Starmer out by April 30, 2026?$377
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 8 - 14?$228
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 4 - 10?$172
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?$146
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$111
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?$102
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 1?$90
Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $100k first?$72
Will Plaid Cymru win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?$63
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 22?$62

Top Losers

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-1,260
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-1,174
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?$-1,029
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?$-477
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by April 5?$-219
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?$-206
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$-182
Will Reform UK win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?$-176
Nothing Ever Happens: January$-150
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?$-142

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.188
Sortino
-0.136
HHI
612
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.155
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
20.2%
Top-5 markets
40.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
1:00 UTC
Median Gap
36.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.4h
between trades
Night Trading
25%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.03
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.9

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 2180s — normal for humanCV 2.03 — diverse sizes (human-like)25% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock1 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal72% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 1:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6.27
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)27.9%
Mid (20-55c)24.8%
High (>55c)47.2%

Sessions

#12
4/20/2026, 10:23:46 PM9 trades$3,9650 min
5/29/2025, 1:48:25 PM3 trades$1,0592 min
6/8/2026, 1:12:40 AM15 trades$1,0577 min
5/31/2025, 4:29:32 PM1 trades$5490 min
2/6/2026, 11:54:45 AM1 trades$5210 min
2/5/2026, 3:52:59 AM1 trades$5140 min
5/1/2026, 1:32:12 PM12 trades$4930 min
5/7/2026, 10:37:58 AM5 trades$4930 min
1/21/2026, 9:54:28 PM1 trades$4920 min
3/22/2025, 10:48:48 PM2 trades$4861 min
2/19/2025, 12:29:34 AM1 trades$4590 min
2/2/2026, 2:54:12 PM1 trades$4430 min
5/22/2025, 5:49:55 PM1 trades$4270 min
9/10/2025, 10:28:05 AM1 trades$4240 min
4/17/2026, 1:08:52 AM6 trades$4211 min
7/25/2025, 5:38:33 PM3 trades$4200 min
7/1/2025, 10:35:17 AM1 trades$4170 min
4/5/2026, 12:20:31 AM4 trades$4000 min
6/15/2026, 1:21:28 PM2 trades$4000 min
6/27/2026, 5:50:41 AM4 trades$3755 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
08-15
05-10
07-31
12-11
02-11
04-30
07-03

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 89 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
41.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.27/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L27.9 / M24.8 / H47.2