mahera777

@mahera777

#326,57011

0xaa3281fccc565d5092a7d6e89866b9c9a4f9f6b4

~131d· 227 markets · 737 tradesVol: $132,935 @mahera7772026-08-04 23:41:52
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

11
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

29% (63/221)0/20
0.86x (win $1,690 / loss $1,971)0.7/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.4960/15
Sortino -0.5380/10
$-0.0298 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 658 (221 markets)9.2/10
38/106 profitable days (36%)1.5/10
Max DD 317% of peak ($956 / $301)0/10

Badges

2
Profitable
PnL $+45
Lottery Player
47% entries < $0.20

Categories

9
SPORTS#185,050$38Vol: $79,096
🏛️ POLITICS#1,421,199$-30Vol: $20,379
CRYPTO#132,231$46Vol: $16,141
🎭 CULTURE#26,851$64Vol: $2,483
🌤️ WEATHER#263,877$-23Vol: $1,748
📈 ECONOMICS#624,790$-19Vol: $1,321
💰 FINANCE#39,699$21Vol: $459
📢 MENTIONS#79,839$-1Vol: $29
💻 TECH#205,273$-2Vol: $26

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$45
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$132,935
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
227
total markets
Trades
409B / 328S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~131d

Periods

#2
Today
$5
Vol: $172
Week
$4
Vol: $172
Month
$1
Vol: $172
All Time
$45
Vol: $132,935

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
29%
63W / 158L events
Realized PnL
$45
Win Rate
29%
63W / 158L
Profit Factor
0.86x
Avg Win
$27
Avg Loss
$-13

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $502 (11.091049723756907% of PnL)

Top Winners

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$296
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET$110
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET$96
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?$90
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?$79
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026?$79
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?$78
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?$78
US forces enter Iran by March 31?$63
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$57

Top Losers

Over $4M committed to the Printr public sale?$-534
Over $3M committed to the Printr public sale?$-200
Over $6M committed to the Printr public sale?$-162
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$-93
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$-60
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?$-60
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$-40
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-40
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-38
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET$-34

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.026
Sortino
-0.022
HHI
893
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.025
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
22.1%
Top-5 markets
53.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.8
Active Hours
21/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
11.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.2h
between trades
Night Trading
13%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.73
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.2

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 704s — normal for humanCV 2.73 — diverse sizes (human-like)13% night trades — normal pattern21/24 hours — extended activity3 trades/day — normal0.8 markets/day — normal25% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.71
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)47.4%
Mid (20-55c)28.6%
High (>55c)24%

Sessions

#12
4/30/2026, 2:40:06 PM2 trades$2,5000 min
6/14/2026, 10:15:15 PM6 trades$1,0894 min
5/31/2026, 10:24:45 PM2 trades$1,0000 min
6/27/2026, 5:12:07 AM71 trades$1,0000 min
4/8/2026, 1:50:35 PM5 trades$9052 min
4/25/2026, 7:26:06 AM8 trades$7690 min
3/23/2026, 9:56:53 PM2 trades$6000 min
6/15/2026, 1:42:39 PM5 trades$5404 min
6/17/2026, 9:54:32 PM6 trades$5230 min
4/30/2026, 4:07:10 PM6 trades$4511 min
4/8/2026, 3:31:21 PM6 trades$4426 min
4/28/2026, 7:24:18 AM10 trades$4412 min
4/8/2026, 10:22:07 PM17 trades$4049 min
4/8/2026, 3:43:27 PM7 trades$40412 min
3/23/2026, 12:02:57 PM2 trades$3782 min
4/30/2026, 9:54:16 AM4 trades$3333 min
4/29/2026, 9:10:46 PM6 trades$3162 min
6/26/2026, 11:27:04 PM5 trades$2520 min
4/1/2026, 12:22:35 AM3 trades$2380 min
4/1/2026, 3:02:23 PM2 trades$2200 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-29
11-27
01-18
02-25
03-30
05-31
07-17

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 2 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
4% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
44.5% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.71/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L47.4 / M28.6 / H24