@mickreid

#133,54054

0xaa50d407ab482c3c67c542ed8c2c35a2de7127d6

~108d· 840 markets · 1457 tradesVol: $21,6322026-08-04 23:41:49
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

54
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

46% (389/838)8.2/20
1.11x (win $2,612 / loss $2,346)3.9/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.93015/15
Sortino 1.56510/10
$+0.0521 per $1 invested2.6/10
HHI 519 (838 markets)9.9/10
48/102 profitable days (47%)4.3/10
Max DD 69% of peak ($577 / $833)0.1/10

Badges

4
Profitable
PnL $+363
Contrarian
75% entries < $0.55
Win Streak
11 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

4
SPORTS#1,760,964$-270Vol: $9,740
📈 ECONOMICS#6,172$325Vol: $7,833
💰 FINANCE#20,001$83Vol: $2,258
🏛️ POLITICS#41,918$225Vol: $1,801

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$363
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$21,632
Total Redeem
$331
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
840
total markets
Trades
1047B / 410S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~108d

Periods

#2
Today
$5
Vol: $13
Week
$19
Vol: $934
Month
$-65
Vol: $1,039
All Time
$363
Vol: $21,632

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
46%
389W / 449L events
Realized PnL
$363
Win Rate
46%
389W / 449L
Profit Factor
1.11x
Avg Win
$7
Avg Loss
$-5

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $613 (1.6900857197982413% of PnL)

Top Winners

US recession in 2025?$305
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?$225
Will Google have the top AI model on August 31?$83
Newcastle United Jets FC vs. Macarthur FC: O/U 1.5$80
Spread: SSC Bari (-1.5)$67
Heracles Almelo vs. PSV: O/U 4.5$58
Will Randers FC win on 2026-05-03?$45
Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. Go Ahead Eagles: O/U 1.5$40
Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2026-02-28?$40
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-03-02?$39

Top Losers

Spread: SV Werder Bremen (-1.5)$-157
Spread: AC Milan (-1.5)$-96
Spread: Al Hazem SC (-1.5)$-79
Will Sporting Kansas City win on 2026-08-01?$-68
Will FC Cincinnati win on 2026-05-09?$-65
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.5$-44
FC Barcelona vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 3.5$-41
Spread: SE Palmeiras (-1.5)$-38
Charlotte FC vs. FC Cincinnati: O/U 3.5$-29
Will Cesena FC win on 2026-02-28?$-29

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.049
Sortino
0.066
HHI
329
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.052
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
11.9%
Top-5 markets
32.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
3.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.8
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
12.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.8h
between trades
Night Trading
20%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
5.29
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
7.7

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 734s — normal for humanCV 5.29 — diverse sizes (human-like)20% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock3 trades/day — normal1.8 markets/day — normal28% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.73
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)7.1%
Mid (20-55c)68.4%
High (>55c)24.5%

Sessions

#12
8/17/2025, 1:32:00 PM1 trades$5850 min
7/30/2026, 1:26:44 AM20 trades$5809 min
8/7/2025, 7:25:25 PM1 trades$5040 min
8/7/2025, 9:12:47 PM1 trades$4810 min
9/2/2025, 5:58:56 PM1 trades$3750 min
8/2/2026, 1:27:14 AM24 trades$37016 min
2/28/2026, 3:15:25 PM5 trades$2119 min
2/27/2026, 7:49:21 PM2 trades$2012 min
4/30/2025, 3:47:24 PM1 trades$1990 min
8/17/2025, 3:53:54 AM1 trades$1880 min
9/2/2025, 12:56:28 PM1 trades$1700 min
8/17/2025, 12:40:08 PM3 trades$1363 min
8/7/2025, 8:23:37 PM1 trades$1250 min
8/2/2026, 12:30:20 AM17 trades$1227 min
9/2/2025, 5:23:04 PM1 trades$1170 min
8/17/2025, 11:32:04 AM2 trades$1102 min
2/3/2026, 2:47:30 PM107 trades$1078 min
3/1/2026, 12:17:45 PM2 trades$1040 min
2/3/2026, 3:19:32 PM1 trades$1030 min
8/7/2025, 8:29:53 PM1 trades$1020 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
08-07
02-07
02-24
03-17
04-07
05-03
08-04

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 157 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
28.1% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.73/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L7.1 / M68.4 / H24.5