@lliwog

#2,873,32534

0xaa91de1186c7bb9abdc639ef2608b41827edeac3

~54d· 125 markets · 247 tradesVol: $8,1092026-08-05 02:45:35
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

34
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

63% (77/122)16.6/20
0.44x (win $523 / loss $1,194)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.5610/15
Sortino -3.5820/10
$-0.1472 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 331 (122 markets)10/10
29/47 profitable days (62%)7.9/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($691 / $0)0/10

Badges

3
Sniper
Win rate 63%
Consistent
29/47 profitable days
Win Streak
8 wins in a row

Categories

6
₿ CRYPTO#1,515,278$-155Vol: $4,780
⚽ SPORTS#1,801,337$-535Vol: $1,640
💰 FINANCE#31,795$33Vol: $844
📈 ECONOMICS#36,777$13Vol: $430
🏛️ POLITICS#96,733$43Vol: $395
💻 TECH#42,522$1Vol: $20

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-600
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$8,109
Total Redeem
$69
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
125
total markets
Trades
170B / 77S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~54d

Periods

#2
Week
$-0
Vol: $0
Month
$-0
Vol: $0
All Time
$-600
Vol: $8,109

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
63%
77W / 45L events
Realized PnL
$-600
Win Rate
63%
77W / 45L
Profit Factor
0.44x
Avg Win
$7
Avg Loss
$-28

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $200 (0.33331111259249385% of PnL)

Top Winners

China Open: Linda Noskova vs Amanda Anisimova$83
US government shutdown by October 1?$62
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET$55
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET$20
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET$17
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET$15
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?$12
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET$12
Grokipedia released by October 24?$11
Wuhan Tennis Open: Shuai Zhang vs Coco Gauff$11

Top Losers

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Holger Rune vs Valentin Vacherot$-494
Will Ethereum dip to $4000 in September?$-167
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET$-99
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET$-84
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET$-60
China Open: Emma Navarro vs Jessica Pegula$-57
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli$-57
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2025-09-26?$-29
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske by March 31?$-15
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET$-10

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.184
Sortino
-0.122
HHI
404
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.148
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
10.8%
Top-5 markets
35.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
21/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
5.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.4h
between trades
Night Trading
2%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.27
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.1

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 348s — normal for humanCV 2.27 — diverse sizes (human-like)2% night trades — normal pattern21/24 hours — extended activity1 trades/day — normal0.4 markets/day — normal64% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 20:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.98
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)4.7%
Mid (20-55c)42.9%
High (>55c)52.4%

Sessions

#12
10/3/2025, 3:52:05 PM1 trades$4940 min
10/9/2025, 5:04:46 AM1 trades$4440 min
10/5/2025, 1:36:31 AM1 trades$2230 min
11/26/2025, 9:18:03 PM2 trades$2022 min
4/13/2026, 2:25:23 PM2 trades$1970 min
2/16/2026, 8:26:15 PM4 trades$1892 min
3/20/2026, 2:56:05 PM2 trades$1893 min
3/20/2026, 8:41:15 PM5 trades$1833 min
9/21/2025, 9:53:14 AM1 trades$1670 min
9/29/2025, 12:36:07 PM1 trades$1160 min
10/3/2025, 3:21:13 AM1 trades$1150 min
3/20/2026, 1:43:43 PM5 trades$1149 min
10/20/2025, 8:14:51 PM2 trades$1073 min
2/17/2026, 7:55:41 PM2 trades$1012 min
10/9/2025, 10:21:42 AM2 trades$1001 min
10/18/2025, 1:10:03 PM1 trades$1000 min
2/2/2026, 9:44:42 PM1 trades$990 min
1/21/2026, 11:31:28 AM1 trades$980 min
2/6/2026, 2:40:07 PM3 trades$980 min
2/18/2026, 2:50:42 PM1 trades$980 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
09-21
10-09
11-07
01-12
02-06
02-18
03-31

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
31.2% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.98/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L4.7 / M42.9 / H52.4