@Merlot
#8,142770xac4502d32af912ac03deaece6b294d3c4f8e20c5
~404d· 1870 markets · 8514 tradesVol: $1,404,6212026-08-04 22:40:41
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
77
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
67% (1241/1864)18.3/20
1.22x (win $104,909 / loss $85,862)5.3/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.87315/15
Sortino 2.57210/10
$+0.0245 per $1 invested1.2/10
HHI 39 (1864 markets)10/10
228/348 profitable days (66%)8.9/10
Max DD 28% of peak ($7,308 / $25,959)8.4/10
Badges
8Sniper
Win rate 67%
Profitable
PnL $+19,218
Whale
$776,980 invested
Consistent
228/348 profitable days
High Roller
$1,184/day
Cool Head
Max DD 28%
Win Streak
14 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
9📢 MENTIONS#157$12,049Vol: $514,735
🏛️ POLITICS#8,833$3,048Vol: $357,473
₿ CRYPTO#8,911$5,415Vol: $169,314
📈 ECONOMICS#682,064$-4,224Vol: $110,654
💰 FINANCE#1,931$2,561Vol: $88,835
🎭 CULTURE#793,187$-183Vol: $85,373
⚽ SPORTS#1,820,104$-845Vol: $36,302
💻 TECH#1,199$1,257Vol: $30,386
🌤️ WEATHER#12,295$35Vol: $3,392
Overview
#1Net PnL
$19,218
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,404,621
Total Redeem
$2,134
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1870
total markets
Trades
7146B / 1368S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~404d
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
67%
1241W / 623L events
Realized PnL
$19,218
Win Rate
67%
1241W / 623L
Profit Factor
1.22x
Avg Win
$85
Avg Loss
$-139
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $4,689 (0.24400565936316032% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Trump say "Hell" 5+ times during Pennsylvania events on December 9?$1,997
Will Trump say "border" 30 or more times during Colorado rally on October 11?$1,464
MSFT shareholders vote for Bitcoin investment? $1,229
MicroStrategy purchases >8000 BTC June 10-16?$1,156
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase December 2-8?$1,025
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?$974
Will Trump say "Hell" 8+ times during Iowa speech?$953
Will any AI model reach 1500+ on Chatbot Arena by Dec 31?$807
Will Trump say "Thank" or "Thanks" 20+ times at the Turkey Pardon on Tuesday?$780
Will Trump say "god" 3 or more times during Georgia rally on October 23?$763
Top Losers
Will Trump say "missile defense shield" during New York rally on October 27?$-1,918
Will Trump say "Job" 15+ times during the Detroit speech on Tuesday?$-1,821
US military action against Iran by Sunday?$-1,770
Will Trump say "Mars" during Las Vegas rally on October 24?$-1,717
Will Jerome Powell say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during December FOMC Press Conference?$-1,619
Will Trump say "Stupid" during Iowa speech?$-1,504
Will Trump and Elon say "DOGE" 3 or more times during their Feb 18 interview?$-1,429
Will Trump say "Biden" 15+ times during Iowa speech?$-1,253
Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during victory rally? $-1,244
Will Kanye launch a coin in February?$-1,230
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.098
Sortino
0.094
HHI
30
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.025
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2.2%
Top-5 markets
7.3%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
13.0
Active
Markets / Day
2.9
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
7:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
54.4m
between trades
Night Trading
27%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.54
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
8 min
Avg Trades / Session
7.4
Bot Detection
#635
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 258s — normal for humanCV 2.54 — diverse sizes (human-like)27% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock13 trades/day — very active2.9 markets/day — normal53% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 7:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
4.56
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)4.8%
Mid (20-55c)17%
High (>55c)78.2%
Sessions
#121/21/2025, 3:24:27 PM2 trades$13,7451 min
11/9/2024, 3:58:09 PM8 trades$9,83610 min
1/2/2026, 6:50:17 PM4 trades$8,5875 min
7/17/2025, 9:20:40 PM20 trades$7,05716 min
12/21/2024, 3:37:46 AM22 trades$6,42013 min
7/17/2025, 9:46:26 PM9 trades$5,4453 min
9/2/2025, 6:17:48 PM2 trades$5,0082 min
1/19/2025, 9:13:43 PM13 trades$4,81114 min
11/15/2024, 1:01:11 AM5 trades$4,6788 min
1/1/2026, 4:41:45 AM3 trades$4,4363 min
11/6/2024, 7:51:45 PM3 trades$4,3523 min
7/19/2025, 10:17:14 PM2 trades$4,2233 min
8/3/2025, 7:02:08 PM13 trades$3,93320 min
7/19/2025, 6:41:26 PM1 trades$3,9200 min
3/19/2026, 5:16:05 PM7 trades$3,6726 min
11/5/2024, 4:31:33 AM4 trades$3,6704 min
11/29/2024, 6:10:31 PM8 trades$3,6708 min
6/23/2025, 8:15:37 PM13 trades$3,57713 min
7/13/2025, 10:01:32 PM3 trades$3,4861 min
1/15/2025, 2:43:41 PM7 trades$3,4199 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-02
12-04
04-20
07-09
09-13
11-19
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 57 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
16.1% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.56/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L4.8 / M17 / H78.2