polimoly

@polimoly

#2,913,36739

0xac8f7a528559574627a6cc44e2307704e89bfedd

~226d· 1151 markets · 12686 tradesVol: $927,689 @polimoly692026-08-05 16:35:15
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

39
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

32% (346/1092)0.8/20
1.14x (win $37,991 / loss $33,285)4.3/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.5019.4/15
Sortino 1.09410/10
$+0.0342 per $1 invested1.7/10
HHI 116 (1092 markets)10/10
69/176 profitable days (39%)2.3/10
Max DD 206% of peak ($11,953 / $5,797)0/10

Badges

4
Lottery Player
42% entries < $0.20
Whale
$137,735 invested
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#1,575,049$-251Vol: $790,300
CRYPTO#1,453,550$-88Vol: $38,605
🎭 CULTURE#802,246$-342Vol: $25,285
SPORTS#97,960$158Vol: $17,786
📢 MENTIONS#154,376$-42Vol: $15,070
💻 TECH#250,006$-104Vol: $14,943
💰 FINANCE#611,697$-36Vol: $13,506
📈 ECONOMICS#663,534$-123Vol: $11,373
🌤️ WEATHER#277,115$-53Vol: $599

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-883
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$927,689
Total Redeem
$1,598
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1151
total markets
Trades
6118B / 6568S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~226d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$-2
Vol: $1,641
Month
$-346
Vol: $9,534
All Time
$-883
Vol: $927,689

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
32%
346W / 746L events
Realized PnL
$-882
Win Rate
32%
346W / 746L
Profit Factor
1.14x
Avg Win
$110
Avg Loss
$-46

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $14,044 (15.925925925925924% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$6,688
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?$4,699
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?$2,657
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$2,161
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?$1,754
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$1,382
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$1,351
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?$1,023
Will Iran strike Lebanon in March?$874
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?$750

Top Losers

Israel closes its airspace by June 15?$-1,627
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?$-1,471
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?$-1,468
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?$-1,373
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$-1,174
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?$-1,072
Will Iran close its airspace by June 15?$-881
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?$-813
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?$-758
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$-740

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.026
Sortino
0.048
HHI
141
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.031
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
4.8%
Top-5 markets
19.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
25.9
Active
Markets / Day
2.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
0:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
43.7m
between trades
Night Trading
24%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.03
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
8 min
Avg Trades / Session
36.3

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 134s — normal for humanCV 3.03 — diverse sizes (human-like)24% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock26 trades/day — high frequency2.3 markets/day — normal37% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 0:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
12.26
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)41.7%
Mid (20-55c)27.1%
High (>55c)31.2%

Sessions

#12
4/9/2026, 6:56:37 PM137 trades$10,19733 min
4/7/2026, 10:34:01 PM58 trades$8,1444 min
4/12/2026, 1:34:47 AM51 trades$7,59111 min
5/7/2026, 6:50:18 PM36 trades$4,96012 min
4/13/2026, 4:44:35 PM37 trades$4,7467 min
4/21/2026, 8:17:00 PM46 trades$4,1316 min
5/7/2026, 11:07:50 PM9 trades$4,0160 min
6/17/2026, 9:21:53 PM54 trades$3,86513 min
4/19/2026, 3:27:26 AM16 trades$3,7081 min
4/7/2026, 10:54:43 PM24 trades$3,20514 min
6/17/2026, 11:35:10 PM7 trades$3,1274 min
8/1/2026, 2:25:17 AM17 trades$3,0773 min
6/17/2026, 3:09:13 PM12 trades$3,0623 min
5/23/2026, 8:36:24 PM40 trades$2,7770 min
6/10/2026, 12:28:48 AM357 trades$2,43584 min
3/2/2026, 12:48:21 AM3 trades$2,3782 min
4/19/2026, 1:32:06 AM26 trades$2,3213 min
4/21/2026, 5:11:22 PM14 trades$2,3130 min
4/12/2026, 10:14:47 PM30 trades$2,2776 min
7/12/2026, 10:49:08 PM11 trades$2,2252 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-04
12-14
01-18
03-12
04-15
05-25
07-27

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 68 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
51.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 12.26/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L41.7 / M27.1 / H31.2