@wdry

#453,88040

0xac97aa029c8342e0c75c5f212cac4ee2e5740ce5

~48d· 266 markets · 876 tradesVol: $88,6832026-08-04 17:21:45
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

40
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

79% (210/266)20/20
0.41x (win $332 / loss $808)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.2360/15
Sortino -2.2320/10
$-0.0205 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 276 (266 markets)10/10
34/47 profitable days (72%)10/10
Max DD 1312% of peak ($593 / $45)0/10

Badges

7
Sniper
Win rate 79%
Profitable
PnL $+14
Diamond Hands
9% sells
Consistent
34/47 profitable days
Win Streak
25 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
22/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
91% maker orders

Categories

2
CRYPTO#1,290,634$-24Vol: $46,178
🌤️ WEATHER#11,777$38Vol: $42,506

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$14
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$88,683
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
266
total markets
Trades
797B / 79S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~48d

Periods

#2
Today
$8
Vol: $1,999
Week
$20
Vol: $7,197
Month
$24
Vol: $8,296
All Time
$14
Vol: $88,683

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
79%
208W / 56L events
Realized PnL
$14
Win Rate
79%
208W / 56L
Profit Factor
0.41x
Avg Win
$2
Avg Loss
$-14

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $66 (4.601535240753663% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on July 11?$32
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 31?$20
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 22?$15
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 14?$9
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C or higher on July 9?$8
Bitcoin Up or Down on July 21?$7
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 31?$7
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET$6
Ethereum Up or Down - July 16, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET$6
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 15?$5

Top Losers

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 9AM ET$-594
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C or higher on June 15?$-28
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 5?$-27
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 15?$-18
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on June 11?$-15
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 6?$-11
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 7?$-9
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 14?$-8
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 9?$-6
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 4?$-4

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.116
Sortino
-0.060
HHI
274
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.021
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
7.9%
Top-5 markets
29.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
13.9
Active
Markets / Day
4.2
Active Hours
22/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
7:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.4h
between trades
Night Trading
26%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.70
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.2

Bot Detection

#6
50
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 275s — normal for humanCV 1.69 — diverse sizes (human-like)26% night trades — never sleeps22/24 hours — around the clock14 trades/day — very active4.2 markets/day — normal91% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 7:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.29
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)1.3%
Mid (20-55c)34.8%
High (>55c)64%

Sessions

#12
7/11/2026, 1:26:07 AM18 trades$9679 min
7/22/2026, 2:35:43 PM4 trades$7983 min
7/11/2026, 7:57:10 AM34 trades$7533 min
7/14/2026, 5:32:01 AM8 trades$6996 min
7/11/2026, 7:23:58 AM16 trades$6157 min
7/13/2026, 3:28:23 AM9 trades$6151 min
7/17/2026, 1:56:45 PM12 trades$5253 min
7/10/2026, 4:41:04 AM2 trades$5000 min
7/9/2026, 10:30:34 AM2 trades$4970 min
7/9/2026, 9:20:26 AM2 trades$4800 min
7/10/2026, 5:37:04 AM4 trades$4105 min
7/10/2026, 5:18:55 AM5 trades$4083 min
7/29/2026, 11:53:12 AM6 trades$4004 min
7/31/2026, 3:44:29 PM5 trades$4001 min
7/17/2026, 1:44:28 PM4 trades$3985 min
7/10/2026, 2:53:49 AM4 trades$3980 min
7/11/2026, 2:25:08 AM12 trades$33919 min
7/9/2026, 8:30:52 AM4 trades$3298 min
7/9/2026, 12:51:17 PM5 trades$3247 min
7/9/2026, 12:10:13 PM3 trades$3200 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-04
06-13
06-20
06-30
07-13
07-21
07-30
08-04

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 1 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
44% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
9% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.29/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L1.3 / M34.8 / H64