@h0lliday

#2,798,48613

0xacac468b19ed63cf53874c682d639758d20b50fb

~22d· 56 markets · 226 tradesVol: $46,3002026-08-05 17:40:37
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

13
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

33% (18/55)1.4/20
0.42x (win $290 / loss $686)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -5.7440/15
Sortino -5.6890/10
$-0.3833 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 879 (55 markets)8.1/10
9/21 profitable days (43%)3.2/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($469 / $0)0/10

Badges

1
🦉Night Owl
23/24 hours active

Categories

3
🌤️ WEATHER#293,707$-316Vol: $41,381
CRYPTO#1,126,149$-9Vol: $3,083
SPORTS#1,332,513$-10Vol: $1,835

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-334
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$46,300
Total Redeem
$25
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
56
total markets
Trades
79B / 147S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~22d

Periods

#2
Today
$7
Vol: $24
Week
$-60
Vol: $3,855
Month
$-93
Vol: $3,855
All Time
$-334
Vol: $46,300

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
33%
18W / 37L events
Realized PnL
$-334
Win Rate
33%
18W / 37L
Profit Factor
0.42x
Avg Win
$16
Avg Loss
$-26

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $89 (0.2656549329501916% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 104-105°F on July 22?$32
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 27?$31
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 27?$26
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 27?$23
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 37°C on June 27?$22
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on July 8?$19
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on June 29?$17
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on June 28?$17
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 88-89°F on July 18?$15
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on July 11?$14

Top Losers

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 22?$-102
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 26?$-99
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 23?$-89
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on June 21?$-55
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 21?$-51
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on July 7?$-39
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 22?$-38
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on June 29?$-34
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 22?$-34
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on June 27?$-21

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.293
Sortino
-0.261
HHI
328
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.399
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
9.4%
Top-5 markets
31%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.7
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
12:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.5h
between trades
Avg Gap
3.2h
between trades
Night Trading
37%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.85
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.1

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 5467s — normal for humanCV 0.85 — diverse sizes (human-like)37% night trades — never sleeps23/24 hours — around the clock3 trades/day — normal0.7 markets/day — normal35% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 12:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.82
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)17.7%
Mid (20-55c)16.5%
High (>55c)65.8%

Sessions

#12
7/8/2026, 4:17:37 AM9 trades$1,3190 min
7/15/2026, 1:08:28 PM2 trades$9080 min
7/11/2026, 7:11:28 AM2 trades$7120 min
7/20/2026, 5:30:13 AM10 trades$7080 min
7/9/2026, 6:04:55 AM3 trades$6640 min
5/7/2026, 12:16:55 AM16 trades$4870 min
6/20/2026, 7:27:56 PM7 trades$4124 min
6/20/2026, 3:55:53 PM3 trades$3160 min
6/20/2026, 1:27:37 PM12 trades$2844 min
6/21/2026, 12:04:05 AM7 trades$1651 min
7/11/2026, 3:59:20 AM2 trades$1480 min
6/23/2026, 2:49:17 PM6 trades$1462 min
6/20/2026, 7:15:52 PM5 trades$1120 min
6/21/2026, 5:50:56 PM8 trades$1020 min
6/21/2026, 12:50:47 PM3 trades$1010 min
6/26/2026, 12:47:53 PM11 trades$940 min
6/21/2026, 2:03:41 AM6 trades$750 min
7/9/2026, 9:46:11 PM6 trades$660 min
7/6/2026, 12:16:37 PM6 trades$530 min
7/18/2026, 2:05:31 AM5 trades$510 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-20
06-25
06-29
07-08
07-11
07-18
07-22

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
WEATHER
86% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
65% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.82/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L17.7 / M16.5 / H65.8