@waltermontes5

#2,746,0570

0xacc67326fb48ae0d757a0afbf4f1c277ddab236d

~66d· 58 markets · 215 tradesVol: $10,2392026-08-04 23:40:56
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

0
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

28% (11/39)0/20
0.34x (win $41 / loss $124)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.0720/15
Sortino -3.1740/10
$-0.0702 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 8441 (39 markets)0/10
9/36 profitable days (25%)0/10
Max DD 2438% of peak ($89 / $4)0/10

Badges

1
Lottery Player
39% entries < $0.20

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#1,426,965$-32Vol: $5,344
₿ CRYPTO#1,532,018$-193Vol: $2,582
💰 FINANCE#561,262$-8Vol: $1,369
📈 ECONOMICS#551,969$-4Vol: $430
🎭 CULTURE#637,665$-5Vol: $260
⚽ SPORTS#1,153,740$-4Vol: $212
💻 TECH#39,283$1Vol: $25
🌤️ WEATHER#196,022$-1Vol: $10
📢 MENTIONS#52,662$0Vol: $6

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-244
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$10,239
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
58
total markets
Trades
93B / 122S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~66d

Periods

#2
Today
$-72
Vol: $53
Week
$-118
Vol: $60
Month
$-46
Vol: $60
All Time
$-244
Vol: $10,239

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
28%
11W / 28L events
Realized PnL
$-244
Win Rate
28%
11W / 28L
Profit Factor
0.34x
Avg Win
$4
Avg Loss
$-8

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $33 (0.13439010403866636% of PnL)

Top Winners

GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?$24
Will Seattle have between 1.5 and 2 inches of precipitation in June?$5
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?$4
Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?$3
Will anyone say "Kingdom" during House of the Dragon E1 S3?$2
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?$1
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$1
Will England win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1
Will Trump say "Somali" or "Somalia" or "Somalian" during King Charles visit?$0
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,700 by end of June?$0

Top Losers

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 15%+?$-81
Will NVIDIA dip to $148 in April?$-12
Israel closes its airspace by July 15?$-4
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$-4
Will Iván Cepeda Castro place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?$-4
Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?$-2
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?$-2
Will Tunisia concede the most goals in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?$-2
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$-2
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?$-2

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.159
Sortino
-0.112
HHI
17
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.542
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
3.5%
Top-5 markets
6.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
16/24
Extended
Peak Hour
0:00 UTC
Median Gap
14.6h
between trades
Avg Gap
12.5h
between trades
Night Trading
19%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.22
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.0

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 52471s — normal for humanCV 4.22 — diverse sizes (human-like)19% night trades — unusual hours16/24 hours — normal schedule1 trades/day — normal0.4 markets/day — normal40% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 0:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.18
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)38.7%
Mid (20-55c)26.9%
High (>55c)34.4%

Sessions

#12
6/22/2026, 11:41:40 AM9 trades$4,2290 min
7/10/2026, 7:04:52 PM10 trades$9170 min
7/31/2026, 4:34:59 PM7 trades$5340 min
4/19/2026, 12:50:54 AM3 trades$4100 min
7/31/2026, 4:06:12 PM2 trades$1040 min
3/8/2026, 8:22:21 PM1 trades$770 min
5/11/2026, 12:58:37 AM8 trades$460 min
6/13/2026, 2:21:37 PM4 trades$420 min
4/27/2026, 10:02:22 PM2 trades$420 min
6/12/2026, 9:30:40 PM5 trades$350 min
4/24/2026, 5:04:56 PM7 trades$320 min
5/20/2026, 4:03:05 PM2 trades$290 min
3/5/2026, 3:09:11 AM1 trades$200 min
7/9/2026, 3:21:04 PM2 trades$200 min
6/26/2026, 4:27:25 PM2 trades$170 min
6/27/2026, 10:48:14 PM6 trades$172 min
6/30/2026, 4:42:40 PM3 trades$140 min
5/27/2026, 11:21:00 PM2 trades$140 min
4/20/2026, 7:46:14 PM2 trades$130 min
6/20/2026, 11:12:14 PM2 trades$110 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-21
05-06
05-20
06-08
06-21
07-07

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 9 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
56.7% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.18/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L38.7 / M26.9 / H34.4