@dfsgrht

#267,03340

0xad75cea421e217a313e46a50e4abc09776625117

~34d· 47 markets · 178 tradesVol: $20,0302026-08-04 22:23:04
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

40
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

87% (41/47)20/20
0.16x (win $132 / loss $816)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.0450/15
Sortino -3.0120/10
$-0.0465 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 470 (47 markets)10/10
28/33 profitable days (85%)10/10
Max DD 764% of peak ($808 / $106)0/10

Badges

4
Sniper
Win rate 87%
Profitable
PnL $+78
Consistent
28/33 profitable days
Win Streak
13 wins in a row

Categories

5
CRYPTO#231,810$10Vol: $6,366
💰 FINANCE#24,835$55Vol: $6,049
🎭 CULTURE#30,525$50Vol: $5,821
💻 TECH#243,458$-47Vol: $1,009
🏛️ POLITICS#176,730$9Vol: $785

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$78
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$20,030
Total Redeem
$2,851
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
47
total markets
Trades
95B / 83S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~34d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $399
Week
$-0
Vol: $399
Month
$-0
Vol: $399
All Time
$78
Vol: $20,030

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
87%
41W / 6L events
Realized PnL
$78
Win Rate
87%
41W / 6L
Profit Factor
0.16x
Avg Win
$3
Avg Loss
$-272

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $55 (0.7027130790888149% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?$20
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 2 to April 4, 2026?$18
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$17
Will Elon Musk be richest person on March 31?$15
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $4.00 in May?$13
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?$10
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from June 19 to June 26, 2026?$8
Will Ted Cruz post 60-79 posts from June 2 to June 9, 2026?$6
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $330 end of June?$6
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 March 30-April 5?$3

Top Losers

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$-754
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?$-54
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$-8

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.157
Sortino
-0.050
HHI
529
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.045
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
8.2%
Top-5 markets
38.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.0
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
20/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
8:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.0h
between trades
Night Trading
25%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.43
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.5

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 230s — normal for humanCV 1.43 — diverse sizes (human-like)25% night trades — never sleeps20/24 hours — extended activity1 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal49% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 8:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.85
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)100%

Sessions

#12
4/4/2026, 3:06:05 PM9 trades$1,2100 min
4/3/2026, 12:08:03 PM5 trades$1,1803 min
2/22/2026, 3:04:32 PM1 trades$1,1000 min
3/4/2026, 1:11:53 PM1 trades$1,0980 min
4/14/2026, 1:15:59 AM12 trades$1,0435 min
2/14/2026, 8:25:27 AM6 trades$1,0001 min
2/7/2026, 6:21:09 PM1 trades$9990 min
4/5/2026, 6:17:49 AM3 trades$8592 min
5/1/2026, 10:32:20 AM3 trades$8260 min
2/9/2026, 8:21:17 AM2 trades$5374 min
5/31/2026, 8:26:56 AM7 trades$4233 min
5/14/2026, 9:30:56 AM5 trades$4230 min
5/6/2026, 6:16:52 AM2 trades$4150 min
5/2/2026, 8:49:58 AM2 trades$4000 min
5/1/2026, 2:43:46 AM1 trades$3960 min
6/13/2026, 4:04:54 AM23 trades$3805 min
7/28/2026, 4:58:00 AM4 trades$3333 min
2/9/2026, 11:26:27 AM1 trades$3180 min
6/5/2026, 8:33:51 AM21 trades$3095 min
6/27/2026, 11:03:05 PM10 trades$2871 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-07
02-22
04-13
05-14
06-09
06-17
07-12

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 3 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
46.6% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.85/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0 / M0 / H100