@kaiakaiaw
#2,696,450200xae0beca61febcce08c1946f1f099803399700913
~76d· 174 markets · 760 tradesVol: $70,0452026-08-04 20:39:53
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
20
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
43% (72/169)6.3/20
0.75x (win $7,340 / loss $9,789)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.2950/15
Sortino -2.5890/10
$-0.1535 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 325 (169 markets)10/10
28/63 profitable days (44%)3.6/10
Max DD 348% of peak ($3,826 / $1,101)0/10
Badges
3Contrarian
50% entries < $0.55
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
23/24 hours active
Categories
5⚽ SPORTS#141,039$72Vol: $51,755
🏛️ POLITICS#1,497,011$-75Vol: $9,213
🌤️ WEATHER#286,785$-117Vol: $575
📢 MENTIONS#152,071$-36Vol: $448
🎭 CULTURE#748,852$-35Vol: $152
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-190
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$70,045
Total Redeem
$1,307
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
174
total markets
Trades
311B / 449S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~76d
Periods
#2Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$-1
Vol: $0
Month
$-3
Vol: $0
All Time
$-190
Vol: $70,045
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
43%
72W / 97L events
Realized PnL
$-190
Win Rate
43%
72W / 97L
Profit Factor
0.75x
Avg Win
$102
Avg Loss
$-119
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,536 (8.096294734622886% of PnL)
Top Winners
US forces enter Iran by April 30?$571
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?$520
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?$445
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$279
Norway vs. England: Team to Advance$268
Will Crystal Palace win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa Conference League?$259
Spread: Spain (-3.5)$247
Game Handicap: HLE (-2.5) vs G2 Esports (+2.5)$245
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)$167
Spread: Germany (-3.5)$167
Top Losers
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-976
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$-812
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$-667
Will Hong Kong have 240mm or more of precipitation in May?$-465
Knicks vs. Spurs$-409
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?$-400
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?$-368
Will Mercedes have the highest constructor score at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?$-335
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?$-300
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?$-280
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.119
Sortino
-0.117
HHI
355
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.127
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
12.9%
Top-5 markets
31.1%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
5.9
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.4
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
17.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.7h
between trades
Night Trading
33%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.03
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.5
Bot Detection
#630
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1026s — normal for humanCV 1.03 — diverse sizes (human-like)33% night trades — never sleeps23/24 hours — around the clock6 trades/day — normal1.4 markets/day — normal38% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 15:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
5.33
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)14.8%
Mid (20-55c)35.4%
High (>55c)49.8%
Sessions
#126/21/2026, 5:29:59 AM4 trades$2,0573 min
5/6/2026, 8:55:18 AM8 trades$1,4461 min
6/28/2026, 2:37:17 PM26 trades$1,3998 min
7/11/2026, 3:05:50 PM10 trades$1,1581 min
5/3/2026, 8:46:38 AM2 trades$1,0000 min
7/14/2026, 3:32:19 PM6 trades$9770 min
4/9/2026, 12:26:37 PM7 trades$7062 min
3/26/2026, 3:57:31 PM8 trades$69112 min
7/11/2026, 3:15:56 AM2 trades$6000 min
6/27/2026, 5:23:19 AM8 trades$5831 min
7/19/2026, 6:15:46 AM2 trades$5810 min
7/24/2026, 11:43:18 AM7 trades$5541 min
7/19/2026, 1:13:25 PM3 trades$5220 min
7/26/2026, 12:19:43 PM17 trades$5044 min
7/15/2026, 12:39:29 AM8 trades$4940 min
7/19/2026, 9:34:30 PM7 trades$4650 min
5/24/2026, 7:51:45 AM12 trades$4530 min
6/27/2026, 5:59:41 AM9 trades$4371 min
6/27/2026, 2:50:28 AM14 trades$4186 min
6/27/2026, 8:27:20 AM8 trades$4113 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-26
05-02
05-15
06-03
06-20
06-30
07-22
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 45 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
59.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.33/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L14.8 / M35.4 / H49.8