@CraicAddict

#2,907,51727

0xae299cbae1204822f8b5e41c1b522fbe878e1c87

~119d· 129 markets · 488 tradesVol: $32,2312026-08-04 17:17:41
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

27
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

55% (68/124)12.4/20
0.39x (win $1,432 / loss $3,687)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -4.2590/15
Sortino -4.3650/10
$-0.2206 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 699 (124 markets)9/10
39/72 profitable days (54%)6/10
Max DD 477% of peak ($2,854 / $599)0/10

Badges

2
Win Streak
14 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

6
🏛️ POLITICS#1,607,257$-744Vol: $18,897
⚽ SPORTS#1,769,676$-309Vol: $8,532
📈 ECONOMICS#617,645$-16Vol: $2,536
🎭 CULTURE#14,856$178Vol: $2,108
💰 FINANCE#28,081$43Vol: $143
₿ CRYPTO#290,028$5Vol: $15

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-842
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$32,231
Total Redeem
$67
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
129
total markets
Trades
340B / 148S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~119d

Periods

#2
Today
$-7
Vol: $0
Week
$3
Vol: $0
Month
$14
Vol: $0
All Time
$-842
Vol: $32,231

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
55%
68W / 56L events
Realized PnL
$-842
Win Rate
55%
68W / 56L
Profit Factor
0.39x
Avg Win
$21
Avg Loss
$-70

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $634 (0.7533667434624612% of PnL)

Top Winners

Trump's face on US gold coin by July 4?$298
Will Bill or Hillary Clinton be held in contempt of Congress by Feb 28?$237
US government shutdown Saturday?$99
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?$97
US strikes Iran by March 8, 2026?$53
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?$51
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?$45
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$43
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?$43
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)$42

Top Losers

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?$-1,133
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$-524
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$-298
Will the US seize an Iran-linked tanker by Feb 28?$-220
Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?$-190
US strikes Iraq by March 7?$-145
Will England win?$-144
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$-134
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 8?$-99
Jesus Christ return before 2027 Odds >5% February 17, 12-1 AM?$-72

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.221
Sortino
-0.172
HHI
787
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.189
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
14.1%
Top-5 markets
53.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.1h
between trades
Avg Gap
5.0h
between trades
Night Trading
15%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.50
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.8

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 3930s — normal for humanCV 1.50 — diverse sizes (human-like)15% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock2 trades/day — normal0.6 markets/day — normal37% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 21:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.38
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)10.3%
Mid (20-55c)33.2%
High (>55c)56.5%

Sessions

#12
2/1/2026, 5:48:16 AM1 trades$8820 min
7/6/2026, 6:51:22 AM2 trades$6920 min
6/19/2026, 12:04:41 PM2 trades$5000 min
6/21/2026, 11:19:52 AM5 trades$4770 min
1/29/2026, 7:57:22 PM3 trades$4323 min
6/19/2026, 5:19:28 AM17 trades$4278 min
3/13/2026, 6:10:53 PM2 trades$2990 min
6/26/2026, 3:21:17 PM2 trades$2600 min
3/31/2026, 8:56:47 PM6 trades$2295 min
1/19/2026, 6:32:02 PM3 trades$2211 min
4/15/2026, 10:36:40 AM3 trades$2080 min
1/21/2026, 9:12:24 AM1 trades$2060 min
6/14/2026, 3:19:51 AM2 trades$2050 min
2/8/2026, 9:05:57 PM2 trades$2010 min
6/19/2026, 5:51:58 AM3 trades$2004 min
1/29/2026, 7:48:16 PM2 trades$2001 min
2/9/2026, 2:53:25 PM1 trades$2000 min
5/17/2026, 1:24:06 PM2 trades$2000 min
6/14/2026, 6:09:00 PM8 trades$2001 min
4/14/2026, 2:57:29 PM3 trades$1990 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-29
01-19
02-10
02-27
03-19
05-04

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 142 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
30.3% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.38/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L10.3 / M33.2 / H56.5