@Kitahara

#455,40440

0xae4b9e625d16ffef4a7759f3a1c77341c159fd5b

~112d· 745 markets · 1746 tradesVol: $48,1772026-08-04 21:49:22
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

40
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

87% (648/744)20/20
0.79x (win $198 / loss $250)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.5460/15
Sortino -0.5540/10
$-0.0025 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 105 (744 markets)10/10
94/111 profitable days (85%)10/10
Max DD 228% of peak ($167 / $74)0/10

Badges

5
Sniper
Win rate 87%
Profitable
PnL $+14
Consistent
94/111 profitable days
Win Streak
29 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
23/24 hours active

Categories

6
CRYPTO#174,175$22Vol: $46,381
SPORTS#1,269,166$-7Vol: $1,121
🏛️ POLITICS#823,185$-1Vol: $160
💰 FINANCE#113,821$2Vol: $44
📢 MENTIONS#51,385$0Vol: $15
🎭 CULTURE#247,632$0Vol: $1

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$14
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$48,177
Total Redeem
$4,122
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
745
total markets
Trades
1011B / 735S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~112d

Periods

#2
Today
$1
Vol: $370
Week
$1
Vol: $730
Month
$3
Vol: $1,687
All Time
$14
Vol: $48,177

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
87%
648W / 96L events
Realized PnL
$14
Win Rate
87%
648W / 96L
Profit Factor
0.79x
Avg Win
$0
Avg Loss
$-15

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $29 (2.0523338048090523% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?$18
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June?$5
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?$5
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 14?$4
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET$4
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?$3
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs$3
Knicks vs. 76ers$3
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET$3
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 on July 23?$3

Top Losers

Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 15?$-149
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$-20
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET$-10
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET$-10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET$-10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET$-10
First Blood in Game 2?$-10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET$-4
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET$-4
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$-4

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.028
Sortino
-0.010
HHI
50
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.003
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
1.7%
Top-5 markets
8.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
11.8
Active
Markets / Day
5.0
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
0:00 UTC
Median Gap
33.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.1h
between trades
Night Trading
36%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.67
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.0

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1988s — normal for humanCV 1.67 — diverse sizes (human-like)36% night trades — never sleeps23/24 hours — around the clock12 trades/day — very active5.0 markets/day — normal56% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 0:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.42
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0.6%
Mid (20-55c)0.6%
High (>55c)98.8%

Sessions

#12
5/3/2026, 9:36:14 AM2 trades$2,0000 min
8/1/2026, 2:06:39 PM2 trades$7050 min
8/1/2026, 1:24:35 AM2 trades$5010 min
8/2/2026, 10:14:08 AM1 trades$3540 min
8/4/2026, 5:13:33 AM1 trades$3490 min
7/20/2026, 12:06:46 PM2 trades$3360 min
7/9/2026, 5:22:13 AM1 trades$3330 min
7/2/2026, 12:52:58 PM3 trades$3182 min
6/13/2026, 3:51:43 PM12 trades$2906 min
5/19/2026, 1:07:48 PM6 trades$2706 min
6/25/2026, 1:55:05 PM4 trades$2695 min
6/15/2026, 12:42:42 PM6 trades$2531 min
7/12/2026, 11:08:37 PM6 trades$2311 min
5/1/2026, 2:17:02 PM6 trades$2223 min
4/2/2026, 10:31:39 AM4 trades$2001 min
5/7/2026, 5:00:39 AM2 trades$2000 min
5/29/2026, 5:28:40 AM3 trades$2000 min
5/13/2026, 10:12:25 PM2 trades$1990 min
5/15/2026, 10:43:31 PM2 trades$1990 min
5/20/2026, 10:13:02 AM2 trades$1980 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-10
03-30
05-02
05-20
06-12
06-30
08-01
08-04

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 1 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
42.1% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.42/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0.6 / M0.6 / H98.8