@HopeDisLasts
#3,050,384240xae7072317fa5fb63141dc2aec2f78a8b25bdabfb
~107d· 202 markets · 1530 tradesVol: $329,8022026-08-04 19:42:56
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
24
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
48% (91/191)8.8/20
0.69x (win $20,692 / loss $29,944)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.8120/15
Sortino -2.4540/10
$-0.1695 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 305 (191 markets)10/10
37/74 profitable days (50%)5/10
Max DD 563% of peak ($11,252 / $1,998)0/10
Badges
5Contrarian
65% entries < $0.55
DCA Master
Avg 8.8 entries/market
Whale
$54,577 invested
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
5🏛️ POLITICS#20,483$807Vol: $255,473
₿ CRYPTO#1,666,442$-4,727Vol: $41,098
💰 FINANCE#656,537$-2,270Vol: $12,707
📈 ECONOMICS#3,961$661Vol: $6,473
🎭 CULTURE#75,534$8Vol: $1,479
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-6,644
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$329,802
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
202
total markets
Trades
1006B / 524S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~107d
Periods
#2Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$-0
Vol: $0
Month
$-241
Vol: $0
All Time
$-6,644
Vol: $329,802
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
48%
91W / 100L events
Realized PnL
$-6,644
Win Rate
48%
91W / 100L
Profit Factor
0.69x
Avg Win
$227
Avg Loss
$-319
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $12,207 (1.8374136584147012% of PnL)
Top Winners
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?$5,639
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$5,236
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?$1,333
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 350M by June 5?$1,106
Will China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?$1,035
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$750
U.S. strike on Somalia by February 7?$697
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?$640
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the February Meeting?$493
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?$470
Top Losers
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$-4,314
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$-4,250
Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $150k first?$-2,370
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?$-2,025
Will gas hit (High) $4.70 by May 31?$-1,852
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?$-1,212
Will gas hit (High) $5.00 by May 31?$-993
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?$-990
Will Trump visit China by June 30?$-975
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on January 12?$-787
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.094
Sortino
-0.105
HHI
696
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.147
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
20.3%
Top-5 markets
46.9%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
6.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.8
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
6.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.7h
between trades
Night Trading
14%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.72
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
7.4
Bot Detection
#615
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 382s — normal for humanCV 2.72 — diverse sizes (human-like)13% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock6 trades/day — normal0.8 markets/day — normal56% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 16:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
8.77
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)24.6%
Mid (20-55c)40.2%
High (>55c)35.3%
Sessions
#122/17/2026, 10:51:49 PM3 trades$4,2903 min
2/1/2026, 6:14:50 PM9 trades$3,1481 min
2/3/2026, 8:44:28 AM2 trades$2,9500 min
1/13/2026, 8:17:46 PM2 trades$2,3063 min
4/27/2026, 2:24:18 PM13 trades$1,9442 min
6/12/2026, 4:50:12 PM7 trades$1,9072 min
5/30/2026, 7:04:37 PM4 trades$1,6431 min
5/6/2026, 5:56:18 PM17 trades$1,6283 min
4/23/2026, 9:57:30 AM8 trades$1,60110 min
2/10/2026, 6:08:35 AM8 trades$1,4646 min
5/14/2026, 2:34:17 AM19 trades$1,4520 min
4/25/2026, 2:42:06 PM9 trades$1,3451 min
5/3/2026, 11:38:56 AM11 trades$1,2961 min
5/10/2026, 9:04:28 PM1 trades$1,2260 min
1/5/2026, 8:27:21 PM2 trades$1,2061 min
5/2/2026, 2:03:30 PM6 trades$1,1051 min
4/25/2026, 5:18:16 PM6 trades$1,0921 min
1/5/2026, 7:08:11 PM2 trades$1,0741 min
4/20/2026, 7:11:52 PM17 trades$1,07210 min
12/6/2025, 6:49:19 AM1 trades$1,0000 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-02
12-26
01-13
02-17
04-29
05-30
07-28
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 195 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
34.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 8.77/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L24.6 / M40.2 / H35.3