@caipiao
#2,614,524470xae8a75b811612086e5fba27004da833dcbf09f2a
~243d· 4426 markets · 12941 tradesVol: $196,0292026-08-04 23:35:10
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
47
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
37% (1580/4318)3.3/20
1.11x (win $2,188 / loss $1,976)3.8/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.43615/15
Sortino 2.36810/10
$+0.0156 per $1 invested0.8/10
HHI 11 (4318 markets)10/10
114/236 profitable days (48%)4.6/10
Max DD 84% of peak ($181 / $216)0/10
Badges
4Lottery Player
56% entries < $0.20
Win Streak
8 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
95% maker orders
Categories
9₿ CRYPTO#1,497,406$-125Vol: $68,056
🏛️ POLITICS#44,174$204Vol: $34,443
🌤️ WEATHER#275,885$-49Vol: $28,173
🎭 CULTURE#787,681$-131Vol: $26,520
💰 FINANCE#615,932$-44Vol: $15,034
⚽ SPORTS#1,620,708$-61Vol: $9,913
📢 MENTIONS#5,923$103Vol: $5,291
💻 TECH#215,181$-5Vol: $4,435
📈 ECONOMICS#607,853$-12Vol: $2,874
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-124
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$196,029
Total Redeem
$2,192
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
4426
total markets
Trades
7943B / 4998S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~243d
Periods
#2Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$0
Vol: $0
Month
$-2
Vol: $0
All Time
$-124
Vol: $196,029
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
37%
1581W / 2737L events
Realized PnL
$-124
Win Rate
37%
1581W / 2737L
Profit Factor
1.11x
Avg Win
$1
Avg Loss
$-1
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $130 (1.0477417277191852% of PnL)
Top Winners
Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: 1st Half O/U 0.5$66
Will Colombia vs. Portugal end in a draw?$35
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on April 4?$30
Will Israel strike Gaza on October 31?$25
Will Leavitt say "Our Nation's Capital" during the next White House press briefing?$24
Israel strike on Yemen by October 15?$23
Israel strikes Gaza by October 17?$23
Will Leavitt say "West Virginia" during the next White House press briefing?$22
Will Beijing Guoan FC win on 2026-06-27?$20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET$20
Top Losers
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET$-30
Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET$-30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET$-30
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-27?$-27
Will Criciúma EC win on 2026-06-15?$-19
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 6°C on April 4?$-10
Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 2 - 8 be less than 13,000,000?$-8
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.075
Sortino
0.113
HHI
12
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.016
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
1.1%
Top-5 markets
5.2%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
39.5
Active
Markets / Day
13.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
7.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
23.7m
between trades
Night Trading
23%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.49
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.8
Bot Detection
#660
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
MEDIUM
Median gap 452s — normal for humanCV 2.49 — diverse sizes (human-like)23% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock39 trades/day — high frequency13 markets/day — mass coverage95% maker — systematic market making
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 14:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
2.91
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)55.9%
Mid (20-55c)32.4%
High (>55c)11.7%
Sessions
#121/31/2026, 4:53:48 PM2 trades$3000 min
1/27/2026, 10:33:15 PM1 trades$1500 min
1/28/2026, 4:37:29 AM1 trades$1500 min
7/6/2026, 7:22:41 AM7 trades$1422 min
4/5/2026, 9:43:15 AM7 trades$1243 min
1/13/2026, 3:20:39 AM1 trades$1000 min
4/29/2026, 10:20:14 AM10 trades$895 min
6/28/2026, 1:23:11 AM7 trades$770 min
6/9/2026, 3:53:25 AM6 trades$610 min
7/6/2026, 6:04:08 AM3 trades$590 min
4/29/2026, 4:15:04 PM2 trades$595 min
6/18/2026, 2:31:47 AM4 trades$590 min
6/7/2026, 7:28:39 PM4 trades$520 min
6/21/2026, 11:34:59 PM4 trades$410 min
4/5/2026, 10:00:33 AM1 trades$380 min
4/5/2026, 9:51:33 AM1 trades$380 min
4/4/2026, 2:06:21 PM14 trades$375 min
3/17/2026, 3:30:05 PM4 trades$332 min
12/1/2025, 8:19:22 PM5 trades$326 min
6/27/2026, 1:56:17 PM2 trades$310 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
08-14
09-22
11-01
12-10
02-24
04-06
06-28
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 135 days (recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
4% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
38.6% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.91/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L55.9 / M32.4 / H11.7