@yuandecheng
#2,914,891400xae92c6e0d6a98267f6a2ab16c5e68c116421caf0
~19d· 83 markets · 611 tradesVol: $82,7912026-08-04 23:19:15
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
40
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
82% (68/83)20/20
0.45x (win $897 / loss $1,985)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.5820/15
Sortino -3.5540/10
$-0.1429 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 535 (83 markets)9.8/10
13/18 profitable days (72%)10/10
Max DD 481% of peak ($1,372 / $285)0/10
Badges
4Sniper
Win rate 82%
DCA Master
Avg 7.4 entries/market
Consistent
13/18 profitable days
Win Streak
17 wins in a row
Categories
5₿ CRYPTO#1,510,292$-147Vol: $69,762
🌤️ WEATHER#296,272$-641Vol: $12,617
⚽ SPORTS#1,699,037$-121Vol: $383
🏛️ POLITICS#341,286$1Vol: $21
📈 ECONOMICS#169,409$0Vol: $9
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-908
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$82,791
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
83
total markets
Trades
203B / 408S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~19d
Periods
#2Today
$-7
Vol: $312
Week
$2
Vol: $822
Month
$18
Vol: $1,137
All Time
$-908
Vol: $82,791
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
82%
68W / 15L events
Realized PnL
$-908
Win Rate
82%
68W / 15L
Profit Factor
0.45x
Avg Win
$13
Avg Loss
$-132
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $381 (0.41957379289067154% of PnL)
Top Winners
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET$139
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on July 29?$133
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET$108
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET$54
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 28?$49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET$48
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on July 25?$47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET$39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET$28
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 23?$25
Top Losers
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 30?$-1,373
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET$-200
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET$-136
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET$-80
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET$-60
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET$-40
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET$-30
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET$-30
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET$-10
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET$-8
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.182
Sortino
-0.101
HHI
499
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.143
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
11.8%
Top-5 markets
40.8%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
9.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.2
Active Hours
15/24
Extended
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
53s
between trades
Avg Gap
46.0m
between trades
Night Trading
23%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.93
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
11.6
Bot Detection
#65
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 53s — normal for humanCV 1.93 — diverse sizes (human-like)23% night trades — unusual hours15/24 hours — normal schedule9 trades/day — normal1.2 markets/day — normal33% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 14:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
7.4
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)0.5%
Mid (20-55c)4.4%
High (>55c)95.1%
Sessions
#127/30/2026, 2:48:09 AM27 trades$1,1884 min
5/27/2026, 2:31:22 PM29 trades$7913 min
5/27/2026, 2:40:40 PM22 trades$7084 min
5/27/2026, 3:11:21 PM34 trades$6997 min
7/29/2026, 3:16:12 PM24 trades$4570 min
7/28/2026, 11:57:55 AM2 trades$4490 min
5/27/2026, 3:59:01 PM10 trades$4070 min
7/23/2026, 3:18:31 AM9 trades$4010 min
7/25/2026, 1:37:01 AM11 trades$3632 min
5/27/2026, 4:26:45 PM16 trades$3106 min
7/22/2026, 12:45:55 PM2 trades$3020 min
7/28/2026, 4:29:28 AM14 trades$2290 min
7/23/2026, 1:40:52 AM9 trades$2130 min
5/28/2026, 5:53:46 AM11 trades$1660 min
5/28/2026, 6:45:58 AM9 trades$1610 min
6/19/2026, 8:03:37 AM40 trades$16010 min
6/18/2026, 4:14:49 PM18 trades$1328 min
5/28/2026, 4:13:22 AM10 trades$1301 min
5/28/2026, 5:27:52 AM7 trades$1291 min
6/19/2026, 8:18:53 AM17 trades$10710 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-25
06-15
06-23
07-14
07-22
07-28
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 1 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
12% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
66.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 7.4/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0.5 / M4.4 / H95.1