@pollymuze

#2,976,73754

0xaea4d147f5b97c3f9c53420616f958ed4ee2106e

~37d· 1170 markets · 16227 tradesVol: $486,0952026-08-05 16:38:30
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

54
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

45% (529/1170)7.6/20
1.09x (win $52,885 / loss $48,422)3.7/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.05315/15
Sortino 1.40910/10
$+0.0286 per $1 invested1.4/10
HHI 178 (1170 markets)10/10
20/35 profitable days (57%)6.8/10
Max DD 123% of peak ($10,072 / $8,210)0/10

Badges

6
Contrarian
70% entries < $0.55
DCA Master
Avg 14.0 entries/market
Whale
$156,118 invested
High Roller
$2,199/day
Win Streak
7 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

3
SPORTS#1,695,102$-115Vol: $263,420
CRYPTO#1,652,977$-2,202Vol: $208,885
🏛️ POLITICS#22,112$720Vol: $13,791

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-1,597
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$486,095
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1170
total markets
Trades
6733B / 9494S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~37d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
45%
529W / 641L events
Realized PnL
$-1,597
Win Rate
45%
529W / 641L
Profit Factor
1.09x
Avg Win
$100
Avg Loss
$-78

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $14,579 (9.128409980277368% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Iran advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5,929
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4,533
Will USA be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?$4,117
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET$2,092
Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$1,821
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$1,355
Will Europe win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1,229
Will Argentina reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1,187
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET$1,158
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$1,046

Top Losers

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET$-6,500
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-5,075
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET$-2,450
Will Norway win the Fair Play Award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-2,182
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-1,780
Will USA be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?$-1,567
Will Colombia be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?$-982
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET$-962
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET$-921
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-880

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.054
Sortino
0.054
HHI
231
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.025
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
9.8%
Top-5 markets
23.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
228.5
Very active
Markets / Day
16.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
13:00 UTC
Median Gap
40s
between trades
Avg Gap
8.7m
between trades
Night Trading
22%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.94
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
18 min
Avg Trades / Session
133.7

Bot Detection

#6
60
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 40s — normal for humanCV 4.94 — diverse sizes (human-like)22% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock229 trades/day — automation16 markets/day — mass coverage41% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 13:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
14.01
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)3.6%
Mid (20-55c)66.1%
High (>55c)30.3%

Sessions

#12
5/11/2026, 12:29:26 PM1169 trades$33,79852 min
6/6/2026, 3:43:51 PM118 trades$17,40834 min
5/11/2026, 4:45:27 AM543 trades$11,62959 min
5/11/2026, 1:52:18 PM76 trades$10,4543 min
5/8/2026, 12:44:58 AM368 trades$9,44415 min
6/20/2026, 9:56:53 PM12 trades$8,9604 min
5/10/2026, 4:08:10 PM484 trades$8,80745 min
6/27/2026, 1:17:13 PM100 trades$7,40520 min
5/11/2026, 9:53:24 AM376 trades$6,61730 min
5/11/2026, 11:39:07 AM249 trades$6,31321 min
6/6/2026, 4:26:58 PM26 trades$5,9607 min
5/11/2026, 7:50:33 PM333 trades$5,37849 min
5/8/2026, 10:24:30 AM265 trades$5,14127 min
5/10/2026, 5:06:07 PM297 trades$4,77943 min
6/5/2026, 11:51:24 AM64 trades$4,60220 min
5/11/2026, 12:13:57 PM83 trades$4,2907 min
6/6/2026, 12:05:19 AM256 trades$4,17751 min
6/5/2026, 7:20:22 AM132 trades$4,02231 min
6/28/2026, 10:14:59 AM41 trades$3,74414 min
5/8/2026, 9:35:43 AM168 trades$3,51919 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-07
05-12
06-04
06-20
06-26
07-02
07-09

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 6 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
58.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 14.01/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L3.6 / M66.1 / H30.3