@progesterone
#68,792700xaedd5e3146a21219f4837feb0691d9b09926ad5b
~196d· 6022 markets · 17131 tradesVol: $203,4412026-08-05 18:25:47
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
70
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
58% (3500/6021)14.1/20
1.10x (win $38,290 / loss $34,706)3.8/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.50015/15
Sortino 4.08910/10
$+0.0480 per $1 invested2.4/10
HHI 5 (6021 markets)10/10
116/196 profitable days (59%)7.3/10
Max DD 35% of peak ($1,346 / $3,848)7/10
Badges
4Profitable
PnL $+1,341
Whale
$74,716 invested
Win Streak
11 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
1⚽ SPORTS#31,159$1,351Vol: $203,122
Overview
#1Net PnL
$1,341
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$203,441
Total Redeem
$10,963
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
6022
total markets
Trades
9756B / 7375S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~196d
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
58%
3500W / 2521L events
Realized PnL
$1,341
Win Rate
58%
3500W / 2521L
Profit Factor
1.1x
Avg Win
$11
Avg Loss
$-15
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,030 (0.7681640508444233% of PnL)
Top Winners
Spread: Macarthur FC (-2.5)$573
Will Atlante FC vs. CF América end in a draw?$259
Will Leones Futbol Club win on 2026-07-23?$198
Spread: FC Cajamarca (-1.5)$193
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 7.5$192
Will Mirassol FC win on 2026-05-19?$190
AA Ponte Preta vs. Londrina EC: O/U 4.5$182
Spread: Qairat FK (-1.5)$179
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: South Africa vs India$146
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?$136
Top Losers
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 0.5$-200
Croatia Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Titouan Droguet$-200
Colombia vs. Portugal: O/U 0.5$-200
Will AC Goianiense win on 2026-07-27?$-185
Will CD Tolima win on 2026-07-25?$-165
Spread: Portugal (-4.5)$-163
Will FK Vardar Skopje win on 2026-07-14?$-158
Will CA Tigre win on 2026-07-21?$-139
Will MŠK Žilina win on 2026-07-26?$-131
Will ADC Juan Pablo II College win on 2026-07-25?$-131
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.131
Sortino
0.165
HHI
4
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.048
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
0.2%
Top-5 markets
0.8%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
85.2
Very active
Markets / Day
30.0
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
13:00 UTC
Median Gap
6.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
31.6m
between trades
Night Trading
17%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.31
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
9 min
Avg Trades / Session
21.8
Bot Detection
#655
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 394s — normal for humanCV 1.31 — diverse sizes (human-like)17% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock85 trades/day — mass trading30 markets/day — mass coverage42% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 13:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
2.85
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)13.5%
Mid (20-55c)33.3%
High (>55c)53.3%
Sessions
#125/17/2026, 5:45:14 PM60 trades$54533 min
5/16/2026, 5:17:59 PM60 trades$51929 min
4/10/2026, 12:31:09 PM4 trades$4570 min
5/6/2026, 9:31:43 PM35 trades$42715 min
5/26/2026, 8:42:49 PM59 trades$40016 min
5/16/2026, 1:13:02 PM57 trades$37620 min
5/8/2026, 8:06:35 AM45 trades$36413 min
4/5/2026, 10:36:43 AM12 trades$3598 min
6/27/2026, 11:20:29 PM2 trades$3540 min
7/15/2026, 10:00:22 PM15 trades$3516 min
7/24/2026, 4:14:21 PM4 trades$3112 min
5/17/2026, 12:03:07 PM40 trades$31113 min
4/24/2026, 7:58:30 AM2 trades$3010 min
6/26/2026, 1:05:42 PM12 trades$2930 min
5/16/2026, 1:39:59 PM39 trades$28817 min
5/31/2026, 5:54:31 PM31 trades$28727 min
7/18/2026, 1:06:48 AM40 trades$2825 min
7/26/2026, 1:48:43 AM10 trades$2808 min
7/9/2026, 3:26:10 PM12 trades$2794 min
7/16/2026, 4:53:31 PM2 trades$2770 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-08
02-09
03-13
04-14
05-17
06-19
07-24
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 45 days (recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
43.1% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.85/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L13.5 / M33.3 / H53.3