@Matzes

#2,890,82393

0xaef0f71b0377f5f0ac1435d7b242d7b4bc6d491c

~80d· 114 markets · 848 tradesVol: $62,9702026-08-04 17:19:56
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

93
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

61% (65/107)15.4/20
2.20x (win $7,900 / loss $3,583)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 4.56315/15
Sortino 9.96910/10
$+0.1934 per $1 invested9.7/10
HHI 328 (107 markets)10/10
33/53 profitable days (62%)8.1/10
Max DD 22% of peak ($995 / $4,529)9.6/10

Badges

6
Sniper
Win rate 61%
DCA Master
Avg 9.9 entries/market
Consistent
33/53 profitable days
Cool Head
Max DD 22%
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
23/24 hours active

Categories

7
🏛️ POLITICS#1,612,604$-962Vol: $21,317
💰 FINANCE#14,499$151Vol: $14,861
₿ CRYPTO#1,561,646$-291Vol: $9,885
🎭 CULTURE#784,606$-113Vol: $1,785
⚽ SPORTS#140,622$73Vol: $1,722
📈 ECONOMICS#23,910$29Vol: $532
🌤️ WEATHER#250,331$-12Vol: $371

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-711
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$62,970
Total Redeem
$30
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
114
total markets
Trades
370B / 478S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~80d

Periods

#2
Today
$7
Vol: $353
Week
$-21
Vol: $363
Month
$52
Vol: $1,397
All Time
$-711
Vol: $62,970

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
62%
66W / 41L events
Realized PnL
$-711
Win Rate
62%
66W / 41L
Profit Factor
2.2x
Avg Win
$122
Avg Loss
$-92

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $3,321 (4.6687658138881085% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?$1,813
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?$848
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?$660
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?$397
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?$393
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?$385
Will Cerebras' market cap be less than $50B at market close on IPO day?$315
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$269
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?$216
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?$203

Top Losers

Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 in May?$-808
Will Israel strike Yemen on September 10 ET?$-473
Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31? $-305
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?$-260
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of June?$-240
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?$-232
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$-205
Will Cerebras' market cap be at least $50B at market close on IPO day?$-175
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals$-149
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 17?$-114

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.237
Sortino
0.363
HHI
663
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.143
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
13.9%
Top-5 markets
45.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
7.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.2h
between trades
Night Trading
5%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.41
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
8.5

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 450s — normal for humanCV 1.41 — diverse sizes (human-like)5% night trades — normal pattern23/24 hours — around the clock1 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal44% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 21:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
9.88
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)18.1%
Mid (20-55c)13%
High (>55c)68.9%

Sessions

#12
5/12/2026, 9:47:47 PM35 trades$3,23812 min
5/14/2026, 9:44:14 PM90 trades$1,6580 min
7/26/2026, 4:20:39 PM21 trades$1,6462 min
5/29/2026, 6:31:16 AM17 trades$1,4776 min
6/18/2026, 9:22:35 PM6 trades$1,1360 min
5/27/2026, 3:31:38 PM22 trades$1,0794 min
5/25/2026, 6:37:36 PM15 trades$91610 min
4/30/2026, 8:36:22 PM12 trades$8015 min
5/24/2026, 12:36:44 PM6 trades$5841 min
3/9/2026, 8:55:03 PM6 trades$57810 min
5/28/2026, 3:30:08 PM13 trades$5484 min
4/9/2026, 4:47:19 PM6 trades$5440 min
4/28/2026, 7:14:58 PM2 trades$5200 min
6/19/2026, 11:11:28 PM8 trades$5141 min
4/2/2026, 9:05:23 PM20 trades$4853 min
3/17/2026, 4:55:33 PM2 trades$4681 min
6/2/2026, 7:50:01 AM8 trades$4662 min
6/12/2026, 9:31:00 AM15 trades$4392 min
5/6/2026, 12:37:40 PM9 trades$4251 min
4/16/2026, 5:04:14 AM4 trades$4190 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
09-19
02-28
03-23
04-30
05-28
06-18
07-14

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 898 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
56.4% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 9.88/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L18.1 / M13 / H68.9