@OldGuard
#2,984,378130xaf2b87d711b844019ae2b797a3f87e73ccce0728
~113d· 7416 markets · 20276 tradesVol: $1,596,7972026-08-04 19:05:50
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
13
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
30% (2220/7409)0/20
0.49x (win $12,377 / loss $25,111)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -5.4330/15
Sortino -5.3290/10
$-0.5692 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 728 (7409 markets)8.9/10
42/93 profitable days (45%)3.8/10
Max DD 5275% of peak ($13,015 / $247)0/10
Badges
4Lottery Player
98% entries < $0.20
Win Streak
10 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
88% maker orders
Categories
7₿ CRYPTO#1,639,785$-1,581Vol: $1,513,813
⚽ SPORTS#1,803,175$-576Vol: $34,832
🏛️ POLITICS#1,524,122$-103Vol: $18,387
🎭 CULTURE#8,871$415Vol: $16,423
🌤️ WEATHER#268,931$-31Vol: $2,002
💰 FINANCE#540,805$-5Vol: $760
📢 MENTIONS#28,051$4Vol: $60
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-1,767
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,596,797
Total Redeem
$8,562
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
7416
total markets
Trades
17385B / 2891S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~113d
Periods
#2Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$0
Vol: $0
Month
$0
Vol: $0
All Time
$-1,767
Vol: $1,596,797
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
30%
2220W / 5189L events
Realized PnL
$-1,767
Win Rate
30%
2220W / 5189L
Profit Factor
0.49x
Avg Win
$6
Avg Loss
$-5
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,572 (0.889807817497382% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?$592
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET$490
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET$490
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET$490
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$473
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$400
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$367
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET$323
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET$323
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$313
Top Losers
Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?$-994
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-702
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$-472
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET$-248
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET$-245
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET$-243
Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by April 30, 2026?$-206
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$-204
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET$-198
$-198
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.283
Sortino
-0.234
HHI
2571
Concentrated
EV per $1
$-0.414
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
49.3%
Top-5 markets
67.1%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
44.3
Active
Markets / Day
16.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
52s
between trades
Avg Gap
11.2m
between trades
Night Trading
23%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
24.45
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.7
Bot Detection
#660
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 52s — normal for humanCV 24.45 — diverse sizes (human-like)23% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock44 trades/day — high frequency16 markets/day — mass coverage88% maker — systematic market making
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 15:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
2.75
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)98.1%
Mid (20-55c)0.6%
High (>55c)1.3%
Sessions
#124/28/2026, 2:16:48 PM5 trades$5,6831 min
3/23/2026, 9:31:43 AM7 trades$1,76012 min
7/1/2026, 9:56:50 PM33 trades$1,3721 min
3/22/2026, 2:51:55 PM3 trades$1,2805 min
5/8/2026, 10:54:40 AM9 trades$1,00310 min
5/19/2026, 5:08:43 PM9 trades$9840 min
3/24/2026, 7:25:37 AM4 trades$6316 min
4/28/2026, 5:02:54 PM10 trades$5554 min
3/22/2026, 2:13:53 PM6 trades$5402 min
5/28/2026, 2:11:03 PM10 trades$5001 min
4/3/2026, 6:25:43 PM2 trades$4000 min
6/14/2026, 12:06:33 AM2 trades$4000 min
6/29/2026, 6:35:25 PM8 trades$3850 min
5/15/2026, 6:52:18 AM1 trades$3610 min
3/31/2026, 1:47:31 PM6 trades$3367 min
3/31/2026, 12:58:31 PM1 trades$3240 min
3/22/2026, 3:21:03 PM2 trades$3230 min
4/28/2026, 6:12:38 PM7 trades$2745 min
6/14/2026, 5:25:07 PM2 trades$2560 min
2/26/2026, 3:46:02 PM1 trades$2500 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-04
02-20
03-07
03-22
04-18
05-07
06-14
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 108 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
14.3% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.75/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L98.1 / M0.6 / H1.3