@StanGrossman
#16,155810xaf353d5c352e0e338cad96345d8fab34dce19a45
~374d· 657 markets · 4847 tradesVol: $467,2232026-08-04 17:21:06
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
81
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
42% (265/627)6.1/20
3.19x (win $28,704 / loss $8,994)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.23115/15
Sortino 12.27010/10
$+0.8802 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 107 (627 markets)10/10
132/271 profitable days (49%)4.7/10
Max DD 15% of peak ($3,374 / $23,066)10/10
Badges
6Profitable
PnL $+8,983
Lottery Player
68% entries < $0.20
Cool Head
Max DD 15%
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
85% maker orders
Categories
9🏛️ POLITICS#6,019$5,357Vol: $233,131
⚽ SPORTS#1,469,663$-21Vol: $83,656
🎭 CULTURE#2,385$2,874Vol: $64,289
💰 FINANCE#511,226$-2Vol: $23,736
📈 ECONOMICS#4,575$526Vol: $23,344
💻 TECH#4,541$163Vol: $21,776
₿ CRYPTO#319,635$4Vol: $7,201
🌤️ WEATHER#270,969$-36Vol: $1,774
📢 MENTIONS#9,025$51Vol: $1,166
Overview
#1Net PnL
$8,983
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$467,223
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
657
total markets
Trades
3079B / 1768S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~374d
Periods
#2Today
$-8
Vol: $0
Week
$-9
Vol: $0
Month
$-36
Vol: $0
All Time
$8,983
Vol: $467,223
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
42%
265W / 362L events
Realized PnL
$8,983
Win Rate
42%
265W / 362L
Profit Factor
3.19x
Avg Win
$108
Avg Loss
$-27
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $19,817 (2.2060477941381103% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$18,530
Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2025?$739
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$548
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?$485
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$480
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?$443
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$441
Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?$313
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?$241
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$240
Top Losers
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$-1,211
Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-442
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$-427
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$-414
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-305
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?$-289
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$-268
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?$-266
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?$-250
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?$-221
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.064
Sortino
0.480
HHI
172
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.796
Kelly %
25.5%
Half-Kelly
12.8%
Top-1 market
7.1%
Top-5 markets
21.2%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
11.9
Active
Markets / Day
1.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
29.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.9h
between trades
Night Trading
17%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.27
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.1
Bot Detection
#640
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1742s — normal for humanCV 2.27 — diverse sizes (human-like)17% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock12 trades/day — very active1.6 markets/day — normal85% maker — systematic market making
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 20:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
7.8
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)67.8%
Mid (20-55c)20%
High (>55c)12.2%
Sessions
#126/1/2026, 1:45:11 AM2 trades$9280 min
5/15/2026, 6:33:55 PM2 trades$9000 min
4/24/2026, 3:50:42 PM9 trades$68510 min
5/16/2026, 9:45:00 PM4 trades$5920 min
6/22/2026, 6:09:20 PM8 trades$47811 min
6/14/2026, 9:16:58 PM12 trades$4748 min
5/15/2026, 5:06:02 PM8 trades$44922 min
3/21/2026, 10:40:11 PM2 trades$4221 min
12/10/2025, 7:56:42 PM24 trades$3554 min
2/28/2026, 9:27:57 AM2 trades$3481 min
4/7/2026, 10:33:07 PM4 trades$2772 min
5/15/2026, 6:07:45 PM3 trades$2034 min
5/14/2026, 11:54:54 AM15 trades$20321 min
4/14/2026, 11:06:18 PM2 trades$2030 min
4/17/2026, 2:25:52 PM2 trades$2000 min
4/19/2026, 2:16:58 PM2 trades$2000 min
5/11/2026, 10:05:47 AM4 trades$2001 min
8/1/2025, 10:06:34 PM7 trades$1998 min
4/10/2026, 8:32:05 PM1 trades$1850 min
5/18/2026, 12:29:29 AM7 trades$18210 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-21
08-20
10-18
12-12
02-13
04-17
07-30
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 57 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
36.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 7.8/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L67.8 / M20 / H12.2