@areola

#39,56498

0xafae26e80af6024eb1a247febc86cfad30f54b33

~56d· 43 markets · 112 tradesVol: $14,2682026-08-05 03:16:09
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

98
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

83% (25/30)20/20
2.70x (win $4,572 / loss $1,692)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 4.96715/15
Sortino 11.06510/10
$+0.3693 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 667 (30 markets)9.2/10
25/30 profitable days (83%)10/10
Max DD 26% of peak ($750 / $2,930)8.9/10

Badges

8
Sniper
Win rate 83%
Profitable
PnL $+2,850
Diamond Hands
5% sells
Consistent
25/30 profitable days
Cool Head
Max DD 26%
Win Streak
12 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
98% maker orders

Categories

5
⚽ SPORTS#28,895$1,492Vol: $6,792
₿ CRYPTO#25,925$1,351Vol: $5,672
🏛️ POLITICS#217,857$5Vol: $1,538
💰 FINANCE#114,869$2Vol: $224
🎭 CULTURE#258,902$0Vol: $43

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$2,850
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$14,268
Total Redeem
$21
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
43
total markets
Trades
106B / 6S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~56d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$0
Vol: $0
Month
$0
Vol: $60
All Time
$2,850
Vol: $14,268

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
83%
25W / 5L events
Realized PnL
$2,850
Win Rate
83%
25W / 5L
Profit Factor
2.7x
Avg Win
$183
Avg Loss
$-338

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,563 (0.8992489010661326% of PnL)

Top Winners

Ethereum above $2,500 on May 16?$1,380
Solana Up or Down on July 11?$610
Astros vs. Orioles$573
Pirates vs. Cubs$569
Blue Jays vs. Pirates$529
Will Swansea City AFC win on 2026-01-20?$508
Rays vs. Angels$255
Solana Up or Down on July 8?$110
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?$5
Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by June 30?$5

Top Losers

XRP Up or Down on July 1?$-600
Cubs vs. Braves$-596
Marlins vs. Braves$-289
Solana Up or Down on July 4?$-150
Phillies vs. White Sox$-57

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.256
Sortino
0.383
HHI
567
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.403
Kelly %
63.5%
Half-Kelly
31.7%
Top-1 market
11.8%
Top-5 markets
43.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
11:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.3h
between trades
Avg Gap
4.9h
between trades
Night Trading
17%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.00
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.2

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 8250s — normal for humanCV 2.00 — diverse sizes (human-like)17% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal98% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 11:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.5
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)15.1%
High (>55c)84.9%

Sessions

#12
5/13/2025, 5:55:44 AM2 trades$9200 min
8/19/2025, 5:26:54 AM1 trades$7010 min
7/10/2025, 8:59:06 AM1 trades$6100 min
6/30/2025, 11:28:52 AM1 trades$6000 min
8/22/2025, 7:39:42 AM1 trades$5970 min
9/9/2025, 12:00:18 PM2 trades$5960 min
1/20/2026, 11:16:56 AM2 trades$4330 min
8/15/2025, 8:09:22 AM1 trades$3200 min
8/8/2025, 10:05:55 AM1 trades$2890 min
8/4/2025, 7:25:02 AM1 trades$2870 min
7/3/2025, 10:13:27 AM2 trades$1500 min
7/7/2025, 2:47:21 AM1 trades$1100 min
8/1/2026, 3:20:29 PM1 trades$580 min
7/29/2025, 12:30:11 PM1 trades$570 min
5/21/2026, 10:33:21 AM1 trades$550 min
5/28/2026, 8:10:41 PM1 trades$540 min
5/27/2026, 9:40:47 PM1 trades$530 min
5/13/2026, 6:41:15 AM1 trades$530 min
7/27/2026, 3:19:13 PM1 trades$500 min
5/17/2026, 8:48:17 PM1 trades$500 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-13
07-29
08-22
03-31
05-26
06-17

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 51 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
5.4% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.5/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0 / M15.1 / H84.9