@ErmenegildoZegna

#3,073,95015

0xb0a275a9a1857fcfaf57d66539637f7ea8b2353a

~15d· 48 markets · 1140 tradesVol: $2,616,9102026-08-04 21:50:11
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

15
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

38% (18/48)3.8/20
0.86x (win $385,556 / loss $450,221)0.7/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.5600/15
Sortino -2.0940/10
$-0.0920 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 798 (48 markets)8.5/10
6/15 profitable days (40%)2.5/10
Max DD 250% of peak ($154,357 / $61,750)0/10

Badges

3
Contrarian
77% entries < $0.55
Whale
$702,982 invested
High Roller
$1,969/day

Categories

3
⚽ SPORTS#1,884,949$-73,992Vol: $1,610,557
🎭 CULTURE#817,152$-29,013Vol: $800,085
₿ CRYPTO#1,635,793$-1,507Vol: $13,273

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-123,957
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$2,616,910
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
48
total markets
Trades
222B / 918S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~15d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
38%
18W / 30L events
Realized PnL
$-123,957
Win Rate
38%
18W / 30L
Profit Factor
0.86x
Avg Win
$21,420
Avg Loss
$-17,316

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $174,535 (1.4080274236303736% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?$119,637
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?$29,723
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?$25,175
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?$23,478
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?$21,960
Will England win on 2026-06-23?$20,800
Spread: Brazil (-1.5)$18,360
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?$16,560
Spread: France (-1.5)$16,281
Spread: Mexico (-1.5)$13,567

Top Losers

Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?$-99,874
Spread: Ecuador (-1.5)$-49,714
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?$-36,664
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18?$-31,621
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?$-29,015
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?$-21,759
Will Austria win on 2026-06-27?$-20,000
Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5$-18,294
Will Australia win on 2026-06-25?$-15,800
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?$-14,700

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.079
Sortino
-0.112
HHI
1041
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.089
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
27.6%
Top-5 markets
52.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
3.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
17/24
Extended
Peak Hour
9:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.3h
between trades
Night Trading
14%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.14
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
17.6

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 62s — normal for humanCV 3.14 — diverse sizes (human-like)14% night trades — normal pattern17/24 hours — normal schedule3 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal19% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 9:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
23.96
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)8.1%
Mid (20-55c)69.4%
High (>55c)22.5%

Sessions

#12
6/22/2026, 12:22:47 AM20 trades$190,2920 min
6/22/2026, 12:06:31 AM34 trades$158,5910 min
6/28/2026, 1:00:53 AM39 trades$78,0616 min
6/20/2026, 10:02:10 PM15 trades$70,0238 min
6/20/2026, 5:54:22 PM34 trades$56,6300 min
6/21/2026, 8:35:22 PM71 trades$44,4330 min
6/24/2026, 12:37:10 AM25 trades$43,7887 min
6/27/2026, 10:59:43 PM36 trades$38,7633 min
6/27/2026, 10:42:25 PM2 trades$38,4620 min
6/20/2026, 9:18:52 AM34 trades$38,1971 min
6/19/2026, 9:56:02 AM19 trades$37,0990 min
6/25/2026, 9:50:11 PM33 trades$36,9406 min
6/18/2026, 8:41:13 PM2 trades$32,9380 min
6/18/2026, 6:01:25 PM64 trades$31,9580 min
6/27/2026, 2:36:40 PM32 trades$30,2000 min
6/24/2026, 11:50:37 PM16 trades$27,8130 min
6/24/2026, 7:20:35 PM28 trades$26,9582 min
6/26/2026, 3:49:46 PM19 trades$22,8371 min
6/26/2026, 12:36:43 AM11 trades$22,7120 min
6/25/2026, 1:39:52 PM38 trades$20,0000 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
07-07
06-16
06-18
06-20
06-22
06-24
06-26
06-28

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
80.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 23.96/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L8.1 / M69.4 / H22.5