@tomastrebilco

#217,0135

0xb119a02b810dc6d30505e63b82e077cd304325c9

~16d· 21 markets · 144 tradesVol: $10,3622026-08-04 21:49:56
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

5
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

14% (3/21)0/20
0.19x (win $48 / loss $250)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -9.3130/15
Sortino -8.5210/10
$-0.3302 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1495 (21 markets)5/10
2/11 profitable days (18%)0/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($227 / $0)0/10

Badges

2
Profitable
PnL $+121
Lottery Player
39% entries < $0.20

Categories

3
SPORTS#112,418$117Vol: $10,179
🏛️ POLITICS#377,776$0Vol: $159
CRYPTO#326,270$3Vol: $24

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$121
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$10,362
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
21
total markets
Trades
59B / 85S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~16d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$0
Vol: $0
Month
$0
Vol: $0
All Time
$121
Vol: $10,362

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
14%
3W / 18L events
Realized PnL
$121
Win Rate
14%
3W / 18L
Profit Factor
0.19x
Avg Win
$16
Avg Loss
$-42

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $48 (0.3973022178086726% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Rodri win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$24
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET$14
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?$9

Top Losers

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$-140
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-37
Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-30
Will Lamine Yamal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-20
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-16
Will David Raya record the most clean sheets at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-7

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.465
Sortino
-0.424
HHI
5835
Concentrated
EV per $1
$-0.173
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
66.9%
Top-5 markets
130.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
3.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.5
Active Hours
16/24
Extended
Peak Hour
2:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.8h
between trades
Night Trading
54%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.35
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
29
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.0

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 117s — normal for humanCV 1.35 — diverse sizes (human-like)54% night trades — never sleeps16/24 hours — normal schedule3 trades/day — normal0.5 markets/day — normal41% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 2:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
12.1
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)39%
Mid (20-55c)22%
High (>55c)39%

Sessions

#12
6/30/2026, 2:02:19 AM19 trades$5190 min
7/19/2026, 1:15:10 AM2 trades$1950 min
6/7/2026, 2:01:36 PM10 trades$1644 min
6/8/2026, 6:06:49 PM4 trades$1555 min
6/7/2026, 7:05:39 AM14 trades$1402 min
7/14/2026, 8:43:16 PM4 trades$1210 min
7/12/2026, 10:45:23 PM4 trades$1151 min
7/18/2026, 4:19:48 PM2 trades$900 min
6/28/2026, 3:12:37 AM8 trades$663 min
6/8/2026, 7:37:39 AM2 trades$550 min
7/3/2026, 2:00:44 PM8 trades$481 min
6/30/2026, 4:12:28 AM8 trades$441 min
6/17/2026, 12:30:08 AM4 trades$382 min
6/15/2026, 2:05:55 AM8 trades$376 min
6/25/2026, 12:12:34 AM2 trades$360 min
6/30/2026, 7:33:35 PM4 trades$332 min
6/8/2026, 2:30:45 AM6 trades$291 min
6/8/2026, 2:11:28 AM4 trades$280 min
6/25/2026, 1:53:10 AM2 trades$200 min
6/30/2026, 5:21:01 PM2 trades$200 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-08
06-15
06-17
06-25
06-28
06-30
07-03
07-07
07-12
07-14
07-19

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
59% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 12.1/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L39 / M22 / H39