@0xb1249B…2285

#2,907,90819

0xb1249b6c8cef888bbf4d0975ecbc83dbd4197380

~37d· 374 markets · 1281 tradesVol: $138,5702026-08-05 00:10:48
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

19
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

43% (160/374)6.4/20
0.85x (win $14,709 / loss $17,246)0.7/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.8630/15
Sortino -2.1640/10
$-0.1092 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 170 (374 markets)10/10
13/36 profitable days (36%)1.5/10
Max DD 664% of peak ($5,516 / $831)0/10

Badges

3
Contrarian
64% entries < $0.55
Win Streak
9 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

5
SPORTS#1,827,306$-1,002Vol: $129,073
CRYPTO#55,376$284Vol: $8,806
🏛️ POLITICS#1,534,998$-119Vol: $651
🎭 CULTURE#636,251$-5Vol: $28
📈 ECONOMICS#207,878$0Vol: $13

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-842
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$138,570
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
374
total markets
Trades
482B / 799S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~37d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$-0
Vol: $0
Month
$-1
Vol: $0
All Time
$-842
Vol: $138,570

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
43%
160W / 214L events
Realized PnL
$-842
Win Rate
43%
160W / 214L
Profit Factor
0.85x
Avg Win
$92
Avg Loss
$-88

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $3,152 (3.7438733205830297% of PnL)

Top Winners

Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: 2nd Half O/U 1.5$1,367
Portugal vs. Croatia: 1st Half O/U 1.5$985
Senegal leading at halftime?$800
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: 1st Half O/U 1.5$715
Spread: Brazil (-1.5)$624
Will Paraguay vs. Australia end in a draw?$595
England vs. Ghana: Draw at halftime?$467
Mexico leading at halftime?$467
Will Colombia vs. Portugal end in a draw?$445
Spread: DR Congo (-1.5)$356

Top Losers

Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?$-1,833
Spread: England (-2.5)$-673
Spread: United States (-1.5)$-600
Will Australia win on 2026-06-25?$-591
Spread: Germany (-1.5)$-559
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?$-500
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?$-500
Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw?$-400
Belgium vs. Senegal: Draw at halftime?$-400
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Draw at halftime?$-400

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.096
Sortino
-0.096
HHI
224
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.108
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
10.7%
Top-5 markets
25.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
20.3
Active
Markets / Day
5.9
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
5:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.4h
between trades
Night Trading
25%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.36
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
8.9

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 112s — normal for humanCV 2.36 — diverse sizes (human-like)25% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock20 trades/day — high frequency5.9 markets/day — normal38% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 5:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.55
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)6.8%
Mid (20-55c)56.8%
High (>55c)36.3%

Sessions

#12
7/2/2026, 11:53:44 PM2 trades$2,9820 min
6/26/2026, 1:55:10 AM6 trades$2,9012 min
6/25/2026, 7:45:07 PM13 trades$2,6254 min
6/9/2026, 6:00:12 PM25 trades$2,2943 min
7/1/2026, 7:51:01 PM16 trades$1,6784 min
6/27/2026, 2:11:17 AM11 trades$1,6543 min
6/28/2026, 1:49:17 AM6 trades$1,4990 min
7/2/2026, 10:48:08 PM3 trades$1,4930 min
7/1/2026, 8:46:04 PM10 trades$1,3652 min
6/25/2026, 10:37:31 PM7 trades$1,2053 min
7/3/2026, 11:52:22 PM9 trades$1,1440 min
6/27/2026, 7:44:49 PM15 trades$1,1023 min
7/11/2026, 6:25:55 AM9 trades$1,0903 min
7/3/2026, 11:30:53 PM8 trades$1,0830 min
6/27/2026, 11:08:38 PM10 trades$1,0473 min
6/24/2026, 10:54:13 PM2 trades$1,0290 min
7/1/2026, 11:33:13 PM4 trades$1,0100 min
6/9/2026, 3:05:18 PM17 trades$9725 min
6/23/2026, 3:49:56 PM4 trades$9444 min
6/24/2026, 10:00:07 PM11 trades$9254 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-18
06-13
06-19
06-25
07-01
07-10

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 18 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
62.4% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.55/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L6.8 / M56.8 / H36.3