@nathanlover

#2,237,81813

0xb1aa5a87c5dea98b2874cff76f3256705f4d0935

~5d· 28 markets · 104 tradesVol: $2,4842026-08-04 23:03:32
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

13
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

21% (6/28)0/20
0.82x (win $252 / loss $309)0.2/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.0000/15
Sortino 0.0000/10
$-0.0778 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 984 (28 markets)7.6/10
2/4 profitable days (50%)5/10
Max DD 291% of peak ($167 / $57)0/10

Badges

1
Lottery Player
41% entries < $0.20

Categories

2
⚽ SPORTS#1,494,595$-25Vol: $2,269
₿ CRYPTO#1,215,514$-15Vol: $39

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-33
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$2,484
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
28
total markets
Trades
46B / 58S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~5d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
21%
6W / 22L events
Realized PnL
$-33
Win Rate
21%
6W / 22L
Profit Factor
0.82x
Avg Win
$42
Avg Loss
$-15

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $179 (5.360095865787896% of PnL)

Top Winners

Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 10.5 Total Corners$87
Exact Score: Ecuador 0 - 0 Curaçao?$54
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 6.5 Total Corners$39
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?$33
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?$25
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs$16

Top Losers

United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 6.5 Total Corners$-170
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 11.5 Total Corners$-60
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?$-30
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$-10
Exact Score: Ecuador 2 - 1 Curaçao?$-4
Exact Score: Tunisia 0 - 2 Japan?$-4
Exact Score: Tunisia 1 - 2 Japan?$-4
Exact Score: Ecuador 3 - 0 Curaçao?$-3
Exact Score: Ecuador 3 - 1 Curaçao?$-2
F0rsaken to have the most kills$-2

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.173
Sortino
-0.423
HHI
1507
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.078
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
23.8%
Top-5 markets
81.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
9.5
Moderate
Markets / Day
2.5
Active Hours
12/24
Extended
Peak Hour
22:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.5h
between trades
Night Trading
39%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.72
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
21
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.0

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 126s — normal for humanCV 1.72 — diverse sizes (human-like)39% night trades — never sleeps12/24 hours — normal schedule9 trades/day — normal2.5 markets/day — normal44% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 22:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.71
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)41.3%
Mid (20-55c)10.9%
High (>55c)47.8%

Sessions

#12
6/21/2026, 1:56:23 AM4 trades$2490 min
6/12/2026, 8:33:55 PM2 trades$1860 min
6/12/2026, 8:39:34 PM10 trades$1637 min
6/20/2026, 10:31:35 PM17 trades$1583 min
6/12/2026, 3:56:42 PM2 trades$1310 min
6/20/2026, 10:41:34 PM8 trades$972 min
6/20/2026, 10:54:22 PM2 trades$970 min
6/12/2026, 7:28:00 PM5 trades$930 min
6/21/2026, 2:57:55 AM14 trades$851 min
6/11/2026, 9:21:01 PM2 trades$820 min
6/12/2026, 2:40:21 PM2 trades$660 min
6/11/2026, 1:34:21 PM2 trades$410 min
6/13/2026, 6:14:37 PM3 trades$400 min
6/21/2026, 1:52:40 PM4 trades$340 min
6/12/2026, 6:56:25 PM2 trades$280 min
6/11/2026, 9:54:16 PM2 trades$260 min
6/21/2026, 1:00:34 AM11 trades$131 min
6/21/2026, 1:45:02 AM4 trades$53 min
6/21/2026, 1:24:22 AM4 trades$30 min
6/21/2026, 4:22:53 AM2 trades$10 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-11
06-12
06-13
06-21

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 2 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
55.8% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.71/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L41.3 / M10.9 / H47.8