DarkNebula78

@DarkNebula78

#2,814,69926

0xb21bc90c56174a89bdf5915abf30b3aa978bc396

~99d· 792 markets · 2598 tradesVol: $74,4862026-08-05 03:03:16
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

26
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

49% (384/791)9.3/20
0.94x (win $4,814 / loss $5,112)1.8/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.6090/15
Sortino -0.8630/10
$-0.0264 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 332 (791 markets)10/10
48/98 profitable days (49%)4.7/10
Max DD 145% of peak ($958 / $660)0/10

Badges

2
Contrarian
61% entries < $0.55
Win Streak
9 wins in a row

Categories

5
🌤️ WEATHER#291,770$-226Vol: $62,692
SPORTS#1,711,719$-137Vol: $11,513
💰 FINANCE#59,075$9Vol: $223
📈 ECONOMICS#622,867$-18Vol: $39
CRYPTO#1,117,097$-8Vol: $19

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-381
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$74,486
Total Redeem
$91
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
792
total markets
Trades
1502B / 1096S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~99d

Periods

#2
Week
$-87
Vol: $6,411
Month
$36
Vol: $7,834
All Time
$-381
Vol: $74,486

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
49%
384W / 407L events
Realized PnL
$-381
Win Rate
49%
384W / 407L
Profit Factor
0.94x
Avg Win
$13
Avg Loss
$-13

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,871 (4.9087856449539595% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on July 7?$1,045
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on July 6?$630
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 100-101°F on July 3?$196
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on July 18?$163
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on July 18?$115
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on July 8?$59
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on July 19?$56
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on May 12?$44
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on June 8?$41
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on June 9?$41

Top Losers

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on July 7?$-838
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on July 11?$-412
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on July 8?$-245
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 3?$-175
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 102-103°F on July 3?$-166
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 8?$-157
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on May 29?$-125
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on July 18?$-125
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 18?$-118
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on July 7?$-72

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.032
Sortino
-0.035
HHI
285
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.026
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
11.7%
Top-5 markets
31.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
14.7
Active
Markets / Day
4.5
Active Hours
21/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
19:00 UTC
Median Gap
48s
between trades
Avg Gap
1.1h
between trades
Night Trading
1%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.46
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
7 min
Avg Trades / Session
20.2

Bot Detection

#6
10
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 48s — normal for humanCV 1.46 — diverse sizes (human-like)1% night trades — normal pattern21/24 hours — extended activity15 trades/day — very active4.5 markets/day — normal30% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 19:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.28
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)6.7%
Mid (20-55c)54.7%
High (>55c)38.5%

Sessions

#12
7/7/2026, 7:36:11 PM101 trades$1,24819 min
7/18/2026, 1:40:18 PM61 trades$85116 min
7/7/2026, 6:09:31 PM76 trades$69919 min
7/7/2026, 4:10:58 PM97 trades$64444 min
7/8/2026, 7:20:44 PM81 trades$47214 min
7/7/2026, 8:00:58 PM20 trades$46310 min
7/7/2026, 7:15:47 PM63 trades$38813 min
7/6/2026, 10:40:38 PM4 trades$3571 min
7/18/2026, 4:09:45 PM3 trades$3180 min
7/6/2026, 5:16:44 PM10 trades$3036 min
7/3/2026, 4:32:31 PM35 trades$2547 min
5/16/2026, 8:35:59 AM12 trades$2507 min
7/6/2026, 10:13:47 PM2 trades$2430 min
7/11/2026, 12:39:31 PM9 trades$2051 min
7/7/2026, 10:06:17 AM30 trades$1936 min
7/8/2026, 12:33:25 PM15 trades$1836 min
3/10/2026, 11:15:03 AM19 trades$16113 min
7/7/2026, 8:49:40 AM16 trades$1583 min
7/18/2026, 5:02:21 PM13 trades$1561 min
7/18/2026, 5:59:45 PM23 trades$1543 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-08
02-24
03-12
03-28
05-01
05-27
07-20

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 27 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
WEATHER
82% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
42.2% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.28/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L6.7 / M54.7 / H38.5