@0xb2306E…1411

#209,12811

0xb2306ed8f1d6b2acf00e8fe556ed2eb06434e488

~41d· 34 markets · 204 tradesVol: $14,8852026-08-04 23:35:33
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

11
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

30% (10/33)0.2/20
0.97x (win $788 / loss $810)2.2/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.1490/15
Sortino -0.2770/10
$-0.0178 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 722 (33 markets)8.9/10
7/27 profitable days (26%)0/10
Max DD 104% of peak ($587 / $565)0/10

Badges

2
Profitable
PnL $+131
Lottery Player
46% entries < $0.20

Categories

3
💰 FINANCE#14,708$148Vol: $10,953
💻 TECH#10,366$34Vol: $3,115
🏛️ POLITICS#1,467,135$-50Vol: $817

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$131
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$14,885
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
34
total markets
Trades
70B / 134S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~41d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$0
Vol: $0
Month
$-1
Vol: $0
All Time
$131
Vol: $14,885

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
30%
10W / 23L events
Realized PnL
$131
Win Rate
30%
10W / 23L
Profit Factor
0.97x
Avg Win
$79
Avg Loss
$-37

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $588 (4.481430641348281% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?$431
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$80
Will Google Gemini score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?$77
Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?$73
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by March 31, 2026?$46
GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?$29
DeepSeek V4 released by March 15?$28
GPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026?$13
DeepSeek V4 released by February 28?$8
DeepSeek V4 released by March 31?$3

Top Losers

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$-225
Will GPT-6 be released by July 31, 2026? $-122
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?$-73
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?$-60
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$-53
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?$-40
Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026?$-32
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?$-30
GPT-5.3 released by February 20, 2026?$-27
Will Google have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?$-20

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.008
Sortino
-0.015
HHI
602
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.017
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
12.4%
Top-5 markets
44.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.0
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
17/24
Extended
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.4h
between trades
Avg Gap
4.1h
between trades
Night Trading
9%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.64
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.6

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 4940s — normal for humanCV 0.64 — diverse sizes (human-like)9% night trades — normal pattern17/24 hours — normal schedule1 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal22% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6.7
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)45.7%
Mid (20-55c)25.7%
High (>55c)28.6%

Sessions

#12
7/8/2026, 12:28:58 PM8 trades$4360 min
7/8/2026, 2:41:29 PM5 trades$4050 min
6/4/2026, 8:53:27 PM12 trades$2651 min
7/4/2026, 10:17:14 PM3 trades$2610 min
6/8/2026, 9:18:42 PM2 trades$2440 min
6/24/2026, 4:37:26 PM8 trades$2162 min
7/15/2026, 10:54:23 PM8 trades$2130 min
6/26/2026, 9:59:04 PM6 trades$1980 min
6/9/2026, 2:37:57 PM3 trades$1970 min
6/9/2026, 5:30:31 PM9 trades$1610 min
6/8/2026, 7:24:07 PM2 trades$1340 min
6/11/2026, 4:36:21 PM7 trades$1210 min
6/8/2026, 5:46:13 PM6 trades$1080 min
6/16/2026, 2:00:31 AM7 trades$1030 min
6/30/2026, 10:53:08 PM3 trades$1030 min
5/16/2026, 6:00:28 PM4 trades$890 min
4/7/2026, 11:23:09 PM4 trades$890 min
7/8/2026, 4:00:29 PM1 trades$850 min
2/6/2026, 6:46:47 PM1 trades$830 min
6/14/2026, 9:30:09 PM5 trades$641 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-16
02-15
03-05
04-13
06-08
06-22
07-04

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 33 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
65.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.7/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L45.7 / M25.7 / H28.6