@aaronchenn

#2,175,77162

0xb23420c6dc8660c344c69e82dee862ac7829a15a

~49d· 195 markets · 306 tradesVol: $8,2692026-08-04 15:17:49
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

62
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

91% (156/172)20/20
1.12x (win $188 / loss $168)4/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.60411.3/15
Sortino 0.6936.9/10
$+0.0028 per $1 invested0.1/10
HHI 187 (172 markets)10/10
38/46 profitable days (83%)10/10
Max DD 87% of peak ($83 / $95)0/10

Badges

3
Sniper
Win rate 91%
Consistent
38/46 profitable days
Win Streak
36 wins in a row

Categories

9
📈 ECONOMICS#654,477$-73Vol: $2,421
🏛️ POLITICS#202,684$6Vol: $2,322
💻 TECH#9,365$42Vol: $1,297
💰 FINANCE#590,836$-17Vol: $1,157
🎭 CULTURE#134,629$2Vol: $639
🌤️ WEATHER#21,067$12Vol: $346
₿ CRYPTO#482,770$0Vol: $40
⚽ SPORTS#431,340$1Vol: $26
📢 MENTIONS#59,677$0Vol: $20

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-27
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$8,269
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
195
total markets
Trades
245B / 61S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~49d

Periods

#2
Today
$1
Vol: $0
Week
$1
Vol: $0
Month
$1
Vol: $0
All Time
$-27
Vol: $8,269

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
91%
156W / 16L events
Realized PnL
$-27
Win Rate
91%
156W / 16L
Profit Factor
1.12x
Avg Win
$1
Avg Loss
$-11

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $36 (1.3135155096011817% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings?$19
Will Kendrick Lamar be the #1 searched person on Google this year?$9
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$8
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2025?$8
Will Jacob Frey win the 2025 Minneapolis mayoral election?$7
Will Jimmy Kimmel be the #1 searched person on Google this year?$6
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?$6
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$6
Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025?$5
Will Lilo & Stitch be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?$5

Top Losers

US bank failure by January 31?$-50
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?$-47
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$-16
Will Christian Menefee win TX-18 Special Election?$-14
Will Dr ‘Aisake Valu Eke be the next Prime Minister of Tonga after the election?$-10
Will Trump make no endorsement for NYC Mayor?$-8
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?$-6
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?$-5
Which chamber will move first on a funding bill?$-4
Will ANO form a government after Czech election ?$-3

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.031
Sortino
0.019
HHI
144
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.003
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
4.3%
Top-5 markets
18.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.7
Active Hours
19/24
Extended
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
44s
between trades
Avg Gap
1.6h
between trades
Night Trading
14%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.34
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.7

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 44s — normal for humanCV 1.34 — diverse sizes (human-like)14% night trades — normal pattern19/24 hours — extended activity1 trades/day — normal0.7 markets/day — normal9% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.34
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0.4%
Mid (20-55c)1.2%
High (>55c)98.4%

Sessions

#12
6/26/2026, 3:09:31 PM57 trades$1,0912 min
1/2/2026, 4:30:29 PM5 trades$3205 min
1/6/2026, 3:28:59 PM1 trades$3000 min
1/15/2026, 1:57:24 PM2 trades$3000 min
10/15/2025, 4:49:59 PM5 trades$2607 min
10/17/2025, 3:31:49 PM4 trades$2407 min
10/24/2025, 3:15:55 PM3 trades$2208 min
11/1/2025, 4:10:07 PM3 trades$2203 min
12/12/2025, 3:22:50 PM3 trades$2202 min
11/7/2025, 3:23:47 PM3 trades$2151 min
1/6/2026, 1:59:01 PM2 trades$2003 min
1/7/2026, 4:51:25 AM2 trades$2003 min
12/12/2025, 2:39:40 PM11 trades$1909 min
11/14/2025, 5:39:22 PM10 trades$1701 min
11/2/2025, 11:05:03 AM15 trades$1565 min
10/24/2025, 3:59:13 PM2 trades$1500 min
10/28/2025, 5:40:23 PM2 trades$1502 min
10/26/2025, 4:04:01 AM11 trades$1434 min
10/25/2025, 3:30:05 AM4 trades$1406 min
11/8/2025, 3:43:57 PM8 trades$1403 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-08
10-26
11-03
11-14
12-03
12-11
01-06

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 40 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
19.9% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.34/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0.4 / M1.2 / H98.4