@Nerso1975

#2,470,92326

0xb2382d4bebb70ba260e07e10c488b7f6d83f7e86

~20d· 143 markets · 1338 tradesVol: $25,2562026-08-04 23:41:04
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

26
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

55% (77/140)12.5/20
0.59x (win $275 / loss $466)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -6.7230/15
Sortino -6.6730/10
$-0.0951 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 279 (140 markets)10/10
9/20 profitable days (45%)3.8/10
Max DD 938% of peak ($220 / $23)0/10

Badges

2
DCA Master
Avg 9.7 entries/market
Win Streak
5 wins in a row

Categories

6
₿ CRYPTO#1,496,409$-124Vol: $22,535
⚽ SPORTS#159,712$54Vol: $2,573
📈 ECONOMICS#476,464$-1Vol: $100
💰 FINANCE#556,890$-7Vol: $27
🏛️ POLITICS#399,747$0Vol: $18
🎭 CULTURE#144,335$1Vol: $3

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-76
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$25,256
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
143
total markets
Trades
622B / 716S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~20d

Periods

#2
Today
$-6
Vol: $102
Week
$-77
Vol: $983
Month
$-11
Vol: $1,442
All Time
$-76
Vol: $25,256

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
55%
77W / 62L events
Realized PnL
$-76
Win Rate
55%
77W / 62L
Profit Factor
0.59x
Avg Win
$4
Avg Loss
$-9

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $79 (1.0333815218819817% of PnL)

Top Winners

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 2PM ET$34
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$25
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET$19
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET$15
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?$14
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET$14
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET$12
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET$12
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET$8
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET$7

Top Losers

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET$-70
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 3PM ET$-63
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET$-57
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET$-31
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-24
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-20
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET$-20
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET$-10
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET$-10
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET$-10

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.343
Sortino
-0.345
HHI
294
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.093
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
9.8%
Top-5 markets
30%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
47.8
Active
Markets / Day
5.1
Active Hours
17/24
Extended
Peak Hour
22:00 UTC
Median Gap
18s
between trades
Avg Gap
29.1m
between trades
Night Trading
1%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.48
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
18.5

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 18s — normal for humanCV 1.48 — diverse sizes (human-like)1% night trades — normal pattern17/24 hours — normal schedule48 trades/day — high frequency5.1 markets/day — normal46% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 22:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
9.66
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)4.3%
Mid (20-55c)16.1%
High (>55c)79.6%

Sessions

#12
7/25/2026, 2:46:16 PM50 trades$35013 min
7/28/2026, 6:46:29 PM44 trades$29020 min
7/27/2026, 11:35:48 PM24 trades$1635 min
7/28/2026, 9:11:41 PM22 trades$943 min
7/27/2026, 1:53:10 PM22 trades$941 min
7/25/2026, 1:40:52 PM19 trades$933 min
7/28/2026, 7:45:50 PM12 trades$891 min
7/26/2026, 7:35:43 PM19 trades$744 min
7/20/2026, 11:54:04 AM31 trades$745 min
7/26/2026, 10:34:12 PM28 trades$696 min
7/28/2026, 5:54:13 PM2 trades$640 min
7/25/2026, 8:35:09 PM19 trades$635 min
7/25/2026, 12:38:25 PM23 trades$606 min
7/21/2026, 5:51:13 PM21 trades$594 min
7/19/2026, 11:55:15 AM21 trades$595 min
7/22/2026, 9:06:34 PM10 trades$514 min
7/27/2026, 10:56:01 PM16 trades$502 min
7/23/2026, 12:42:55 PM16 trades$495 min
7/28/2026, 8:51:26 PM36 trades$4813 min
7/25/2026, 2:04:55 PM12 trades$470 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
07-07
07-11
07-15
07-19
07-22
07-26
08-01

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 16 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
53.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 9.66/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L4.3 / M16.1 / H79.6