3musketeers

@3musketeers

#4,48257

0xb2516845269865081e24f54708f4127d60de6f5b

~237d· 506 markets · 5875 tradesVol: $1,437,701 @lilwan19862026-08-04 19:58:44
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

57
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

56% (279/497)13.1/20
1.25x (win $205,240 / loss $164,330)5.6/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.55810.5/15
Sortino 0.8718.7/10
$+0.0664 per $1 invested3.3/10
HHI 525 (497 markets)9.9/10
85/162 profitable days (52%)5.6/10
Max DD 86% of peak ($68,652 / $79,679)0/10

Badges

7
Profitable
PnL $+38,529
DCA Master
Avg 11.3 entries/market
Whale
$616,089 invested
High Roller
$1,981/day
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
76% maker orders

Categories

8
SPORTS#1,594$41,699Vol: $1,305,957
CRYPTO#1,559,541$-281Vol: $56,027
💰 FINANCE#657,204$-3,179Vol: $33,868
🏛️ POLITICS#1,508,472$-89Vol: $28,524
📈 ECONOMICS#4,252$589Vol: $11,901
📢 MENTIONS#169,216$-203Vol: $976
🎭 CULTURE#669,794$-8Vol: $349
💻 TECH#56,817$1Vol: $100

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$38,529
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,437,701
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
506
total markets
Trades
5030B / 845S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~237d

Periods

#2
Today
$-66
Vol: $124
Week
$-134
Vol: $1,237
Month
$101
Vol: $9,237
All Time
$38,529
Vol: $1,437,701

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
56%
279W / 218L events
Realized PnL
$38,529
Win Rate
56%
279W / 218L
Profit Factor
1.25x
Avg Win
$736
Avg Loss
$-761

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $104,948 (2.7238607728158835% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$79,086
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$13,432
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$12,429
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10,854
Will England reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$9,040
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-03?$6,512
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-13?$3,900
Will England win on 2026-06-17?$3,564
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-10-29?$3,442
Will West Ham United FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?$3,348

Top Losers

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?$-67,481
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-12,694
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-08?$-10,579
Will Arsenal win on 2025-11-08?$-6,621
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-18?$-4,418
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-14?$-4,000
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?$-3,735
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-25?$-3,691
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Carabao Cup?$-3,346
England vs. DR Congo: Team to Advance$-3,129

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.029
Sortino
0.032
HHI
1145
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.051
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
28.8%
Top-5 markets
56.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
18.9
Active
Markets / Day
1.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
59.5m
between trades
Night Trading
28%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.55
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
6 min
Avg Trades / Session
28.7

Bot Detection

#6
40
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 101s — normal for humanCV 3.55 — diverse sizes (human-like)28% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock19 trades/day — very active1.6 markets/day — normal76% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 20:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
11.34
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)7.8%
Mid (20-55c)16.8%
High (>55c)75.4%

Sessions

#12
5/30/2026, 3:39:31 PM6 trades$19,4263 min
6/2/2026, 7:44:05 PM2 trades$19,0000 min
1/3/2026, 7:09:57 PM22 trades$10,76312 min
6/2/2026, 6:21:37 PM2 trades$10,0000 min
7/8/2026, 5:27:37 AM1 trades$9,7600 min
7/8/2026, 5:45:44 AM18 trades$9,56610 min
12/30/2025, 9:48:17 PM3 trades$9,0193 min
12/13/2025, 4:47:38 AM6 trades$8,6378 min
5/29/2026, 5:43:56 PM1 trades$8,6000 min
11/13/2025, 4:38:14 AM40 trades$8,56734 min
12/27/2025, 2:45:17 PM2 trades$8,1954 min
12/27/2025, 4:38:23 PM13 trades$7,18015 min
7/9/2026, 9:53:07 PM14 trades$6,5791 min
11/5/2025, 4:29:53 AM11 trades$6,42818 min
1/3/2026, 6:25:17 PM1 trades$6,3600 min
12/23/2025, 9:49:57 PM16 trades$6,0904 min
12/30/2025, 9:35:33 PM5 trades$5,8736 min
11/8/2025, 7:25:31 PM13 trades$5,8068 min
2/27/2026, 4:44:38 AM3 trades$5,7005 min
12/26/2025, 1:36:27 PM1 trades$5,4470 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
09-28
11-13
12-15
01-25
03-17
06-16

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 6 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
14.4% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 11.34/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L7.8 / M16.8 / H75.4