@0xB2539c…1015

#384,77417

0xb2539c6e857372d90bc648b59498cb6e5ec42d38

~46d· 312 markets · 1319 tradesVol: $33,0862026-08-04 16:20:29
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

17
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

58% (97/168)13.9/20
0.24x (win $354 / loss $1,491)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -5.9150/15
Sortino -5.6760/10
$-0.1546 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 7843 (168 markets)0/10
15/34 profitable days (44%)3.5/10
Max DD 16578% of peak ($1,144 / $7)0/10

Badges

3
Profitable
PnL $+27
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
22/24 hours active

Categories

9
CRYPTO#1,503,611$-136Vol: $20,850
🏛️ POLITICS#45,185$195Vol: $5,178
💰 FINANCE#12,831$192Vol: $3,147
SPORTS#1,765,765$-292Vol: $1,400
📈 ECONOMICS#17,136$56Vol: $1,293
🎭 CULTURE#63,992$11Vol: $1,044
🌤️ WEATHER#38,534$3Vol: $103
💻 TECH#207,975$-3Vol: $40
📢 MENTIONS#98,516$-2Vol: $15

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$27
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$33,086
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
312
total markets
Trades
576B / 743S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~46d

Periods

#2
Today
$6
Vol: $0
Week
$-7
Vol: $0
Month
$43
Vol: $0
All Time
$27
Vol: $33,086

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
58%
97W / 71L events
Realized PnL
$27
Win Rate
58%
97W / 71L
Profit Factor
0.24x
Avg Win
$4
Avg Loss
$-40

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $102 (3.812359550561798% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Drake perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?$38
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?$34
Nothing Ever Happens: May$30
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$28
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$21
Another GTA VI trailer released by June 26?$16
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?$15
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$14
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?$14
Epstein suicide note released by May 31?$12

Top Losers

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$-559
Will Coldplay perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?$-236
Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?$-214
Will Burna Boy perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?$-120
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?$-96
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$-60
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?$-32
Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?$-32
Will there be at least 1950 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?$-20
Larry Wheels divorce by June 30?$-11

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.305
Sortino
-0.227
HHI
119
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.345
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
8%
Top-5 markets
18.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
14.3
Active
Markets / Day
3.4
Active Hours
22/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
10:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.3h
between trades
Night Trading
10%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.08
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
10.4

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 112s — normal for humanCV 2.08 — diverse sizes (human-like)10% night trades — normal pattern22/24 hours — around the clock14 trades/day — very active3.4 markets/day — normal44% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 10:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.31
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)4.5%
Mid (20-55c)12.2%
High (>55c)83.3%

Sessions

#12
6/2/2026, 3:04:12 PM4 trades$15,7140 min
6/3/2026, 11:52:03 PM2 trades$2,0000 min
6/2/2026, 12:25:54 PM6 trades$1,1467 min
6/2/2026, 4:18:11 PM2 trades$1,0000 min
6/26/2026, 3:52:29 PM28 trades$75112 min
7/30/2026, 1:30:54 PM15 trades$6127 min
5/5/2026, 8:13:58 PM14 trades$4595 min
7/1/2026, 10:36:20 AM12 trades$4186 min
6/2/2026, 11:46:10 PM11 trades$4150 min
7/4/2026, 10:08:38 AM21 trades$40412 min
7/3/2026, 4:55:55 PM7 trades$3606 min
6/28/2026, 6:56:25 PM11 trades$3593 min
7/3/2026, 12:24:05 AM8 trades$3552 min
7/26/2026, 5:17:07 PM6 trades$3340 min
7/1/2026, 10:06:17 AM30 trades$32113 min
6/14/2026, 10:59:45 AM9 trades$2922 min
6/28/2026, 5:38:53 PM4 trades$2404 min
5/12/2026, 8:45:19 PM4 trades$2391 min
5/14/2026, 12:51:51 PM11 trades$2220 min
7/31/2026, 6:43:47 PM2 trades$2150 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-01
05-08
05-14
05-20
06-06
06-17
07-01

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 55 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
56.3% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.31/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L4.5 / M12.2 / H83.3