@0xb2d9…6110
640xb2d933ab1a040927ccf56e22c7efcd878d4c6110
~40d· 129 markets · 247 trades2026-08-04 23:54:09
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
64
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
61% (77/127)15.3/20
1.12x (win $91 / loss $81)4/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.91815/15
Sortino 3.44210/10
$+0.0392 per $1 invested2/10
HHI 252 (127 markets)10/10
21/36 profitable days (58%)7.1/10
Max DD 67% of peak ($9 / $13)0.6/10
Badges
2Sniper
Win rate 61%
Win Streak
8 wins in a row
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-24
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$247
Total Redeem
$14
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
129
total markets
Trades
161B / 86S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~40d
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
61%
77W / 50L events
Realized PnL
$-24
Win Rate
61%
77W / 50L
Profit Factor
1.12x
Avg Win
$1
Avg Loss
$-2
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $24 (1.0092359361880774% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?$9
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET$8
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET$7
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET$7
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET$5
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET$4
Will TikTok be on the App Store by Friday?$3
Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his inauguration speech?$3
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX's Super Heavy?$3
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?$3
Top Losers
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET$-15
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?$-6
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET$-5
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16?$-4
Ethereum above $3,400 on February 7?$-3
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET$-2
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?$-2
Will Demi Moore win Best Actress at the 2025 Oscars?$-2
Will Strategy purchase Bitcoin Feb 25-Mar 3?$-2
Will Trump say "illegal immigrant" or "illegal immigration" during his inauguration speech? $-2
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.099
Sortino
0.227
HHI
234
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.038
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
9.2%
Top-5 markets
26%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
0.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
18/24
Extended
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.1h
between trades
Night Trading
2%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.04
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.8
Bot Detection
#65
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 180s — normal for humanCV 1.04 — diverse sizes (human-like)2% night trades — normal pattern18/24 hours — extended activity0 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal17% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 15:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
2.02
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)11.8%
Mid (20-55c)31.7%
High (>55c)56.5%
Sessions
#126/17/2026, 3:03:20 PM27 trades$4022 min
3/25/2026, 10:14:53 AM4 trades$319 min
3/24/2026, 10:23:35 PM8 trades$238 min
3/24/2026, 11:27:47 AM8 trades$209 min
3/25/2026, 11:22:45 AM2 trades$162 min
6/23/2026, 10:39:11 AM4 trades$141 min
3/24/2026, 2:19:25 PM9 trades$1411 min
6/10/2026, 10:37:28 AM6 trades$125 min
6/17/2026, 2:57:49 PM2 trades$100 min
7/6/2026, 6:09:14 PM4 trades$102 min
3/24/2026, 2:00:11 PM8 trades$910 min
3/24/2026, 3:20:43 PM7 trades$811 min
6/16/2026, 5:41:05 PM2 trades$80 min
6/21/2026, 2:19:05 PM2 trades$70 min
3/24/2026, 10:11:47 PM3 trades$75 min
1/20/2025, 8:06:05 AM5 trades$68 min
1/20/2025, 7:32:03 AM3 trades$62 min
7/14/2026, 9:55:56 PM3 trades$50 min
4/6/2026, 7:44:13 AM2 trades$50 min
3/24/2026, 4:12:49 PM4 trades$53 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-17
11-27
01-31
03-04
03-25
06-16
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 85 days (recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
34.8% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.02/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L11.8 / M31.7 / H56.5