Jormanbm03

@Jormanbm03

#2,342,54542

0xb354ae68cda0544159a1c923325bda44e0e1ffee

~23d· 230 markets · 981 tradesVol: $18,3162026-08-04 20:21:51
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

42
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

40% (91/226)5.1/20
1.03x (win $743 / loss $719)2.9/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.67012.6/15
Sortino 1.07310/10
$+0.0078 per $1 invested0.4/10
HHI 182 (226 markets)10/10
7/20 profitable days (35%)1.2/10
Max DD 159% of peak ($129 / $81)0/10

Badges

2
Contrarian
83% entries < $0.55
Win Streak
5 wins in a row

Categories

4
CRYPTO#1,363,874$-41Vol: $13,215
🏛️ POLITICS#1,351,240$-17Vol: $2,583
🌤️ WEATHER#258,300$-18Vol: $1,398
SPORTS#206,819$28Vol: $1,120

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-49
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$18,316
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
230
total markets
Trades
650B / 331S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~23d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
All Time
$-49
Vol: $18,316

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
40%
91W / 135L events
Realized PnL
$-49
Win Rate
40%
91W / 135L
Profit Factor
1.03x
Avg Win
$8
Avg Loss
$-5

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $181 (3.731727403747169% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw?$81
Final Stage: USA vs. Venezuela$69
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET$31
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET$29
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET$27
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET$24
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET$23
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET$20
Ethereum Up or Down - January 21, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET$18
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET$18

Top Losers

Ethereum Up or Down - January 21, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET$-60
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET$-46
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET$-31
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET$-23
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET$-23
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET$-23
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET$-20
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20?$-20
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET$-19
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET$-17

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.034
Sortino
0.057
HHI
146
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.008
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
5.6%
Top-5 markets
19.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
5.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.3
Active Hours
21/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
1:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
15.4m
between trades
Night Trading
39%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.53
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
14 min
Avg Trades / Session
10.9

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 96s — normal for humanCV 1.53 — diverse sizes (human-like)39% night trades — never sleeps21/24 hours — extended activity6 trades/day — normal1.3 markets/day — normal5% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 1:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.21
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)26%
Mid (20-55c)57.2%
High (>55c)16.8%

Sessions

#12
1/20/2026, 7:35:10 AM11 trades$39121 min
1/21/2026, 8:14:38 PM9 trades$23410 min
6/20/2026, 11:15:58 PM4 trades$2270 min
1/16/2026, 5:34:44 PM24 trades$22631 min
1/20/2026, 8:15:08 AM7 trades$2235 min
3/18/2026, 1:18:09 AM5 trades$1688 min
1/21/2026, 8:29:44 PM18 trades$13924 min
1/16/2026, 8:58:38 PM11 trades$13918 min
1/20/2026, 5:29:00 AM44 trades$13453 min
1/21/2026, 2:16:14 PM21 trades$12429 min
3/18/2026, 3:16:41 AM1 trades$1210 min
1/21/2026, 9:14:58 PM4 trades$1081 min
1/16/2026, 6:11:28 PM8 trades$1039 min
1/20/2026, 5:02:38 PM12 trades$10214 min
1/20/2026, 2:09:28 AM31 trades$9642 min
1/16/2026, 8:16:26 PM15 trades$9522 min
1/21/2026, 8:58:48 PM6 trades$899 min
1/16/2026, 8:45:20 PM6 trades$875 min
3/18/2026, 12:57:09 AM9 trades$857 min
1/19/2026, 12:59:50 AM15 trades$7423 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-16
01-19
01-22
01-31
02-27
03-18
06-20

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 43 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
2% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
33.7% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.21/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L26 / M57.2 / H16.8