@ceil
#114,281590xb38568494845447feb295348a0030140b9f9180e
~22d· 23 markets · 171 tradesVol: $312,0722026-08-05 16:36:46
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
59
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
23% (5/22)0/20
2.32x (win $50,950 / loss $21,948)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 3.82415/15
Sortino 8.71510/10
$+0.3187 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 2046 (22 markets)2.3/10
5/16 profitable days (31%)0.3/10
Max DD 36% of peak ($16,085 / $45,087)6.9/10
Badges
3Profitable
PnL $+517
Lottery Player
32% entries < $0.20
Whale
$90,999 invested
Categories
6⚽ SPORTS#1,880,220$-15,371Vol: $100,518
🏛️ POLITICS#1,629,946$-2,449Vol: $95,467
₿ CRYPTO#2,377$18,918Vol: $77,334
🎭 CULTURE#809,853$-841Vol: $19,439
📈 ECONOMICS#680,725$-1,636Vol: $12,419
💰 FINANCE#2,481$1,895Vol: $6,895
Overview
#1Net PnL
$517
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$312,072
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
23
total markets
Trades
74B / 97S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~22d
Periods
#2Week
$-21
Vol: $0
Month
$-21
Vol: $0
All Time
$517
Vol: $312,072
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
23%
5W / 17L events
Realized PnL
$517
Win Rate
23%
5W / 17L
Profit Factor
2.32x
Avg Win
$10,190
Avg Loss
$-1,372
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $49,055 (94.95468535258706% of PnL)
Top Winners
Knicks vs. Spurs$27,243
Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31? $18,918
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$2,894
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$1,895
Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$0
Top Losers
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?$-13,782
Will Türkiye vs. United States end in a draw?$-1,886
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?$-1,636
Will Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-0 be the exact series outcome?$-1,337
US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?$-600
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$-472
Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by January 31?$-449
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?$-447
US strikes Iran by January 12, 2026?$-300
Will Marty Supreme win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$-236
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.194
Sortino
0.380
HHI
2617
Concentrated
EV per $1
$0.304
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
41.8%
Top-5 markets
89.7%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
0.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
16/24
Extended
Peak Hour
3:00 UTC
Median Gap
34s
between trades
Avg Gap
1.4h
between trades
Night Trading
33%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.76
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
39
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.4
Bot Detection
#615
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 34s — normal for humanCV 1.76 — diverse sizes (human-like)33% night trades — never sleeps16/24 hours — normal schedule1 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal27% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 3:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
7.77
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)32.4%
Mid (20-55c)24.3%
High (>55c)43.2%
Sessions
#1210/28/2025, 12:13:41 PM4 trades$29,3562 min
6/25/2026, 3:12:13 AM43 trades$21,6660 min
10/9/2025, 3:41:34 PM6 trades$13,2671 min
6/14/2026, 12:39:19 AM2 trades$10,8110 min
10/9/2025, 9:11:32 PM6 trades$10,0426 min
10/9/2025, 8:41:40 PM2 trades$7,2770 min
10/28/2025, 12:59:45 PM2 trades$5,2330 min
10/28/2025, 10:17:17 PM3 trades$5,1902 min
12/2/2025, 9:55:23 PM1 trades$5,0000 min
10/29/2025, 12:51:19 AM2 trades$3,9800 min
10/10/2025, 4:37:00 PM1 trades$3,0000 min
6/23/2026, 10:00:34 PM12 trades$2,7630 min
6/7/2026, 10:25:00 PM22 trades$2,6980 min
10/9/2025, 7:43:58 PM2 trades$2,2001 min
7/2/2026, 6:23:34 PM4 trades$2,0800 min
1/12/2026, 1:47:28 PM3 trades$2,0110 min
7/2/2026, 4:30:20 PM2 trades$2,0000 min
11/3/2025, 3:47:37 PM2 trades$1,8881 min
10/9/2025, 3:48:38 PM4 trades$1,6992 min
1/11/2026, 9:48:10 PM5 trades$1,4305 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-29
12-02
12-10
01-11
01-15
06-07
06-20
06-25
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 18 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
56.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 7.77/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L32.4 / M24.3 / H43.2