@SaddlebackLagac
#3,027,01200xb3cede3b0c6a23eb034882e39d210ccc52665eb3
~19d· 40 markets · 228 tradesVol: $312,6692026-08-04 18:53:51
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
0
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
22% (9/40)0/20
0.39x (win $3,871 / loss $9,806)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -5.7540/15
Sortino -5.6140/10
$-0.7766 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 6976 (40 markets)0/10
5/17 profitable days (29%)0/10
Max DD 758% of peak ($6,837 / $902)0/10
Badges
1Lottery Player
52% entries < $0.20
Categories
4📈 ECONOMICS#679,341$-1,095Vol: $177,987
⚽ SPORTS#1,853,859$-1,998Vol: $104,481
🏛️ POLITICS#1,268,310$-10Vol: $340
🎭 CULTURE#756,814$-44Vol: $167
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-3,270
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$312,669
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
40
total markets
Trades
71B / 157S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~19d
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
23%
9W / 31L events
Realized PnL
$-3,270
Win Rate
23%
9W / 31L
Profit Factor
0.39x
Avg Win
$430
Avg Loss
$-350
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,935 (0.8975655104293765% of PnL)
Top Winners
Knicks vs. Spurs$1,680
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14?$670
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25?$585
Spread: Senegal (-2.5)$334
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?$307
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians$121
ITF Tokyo: Naoya Honda vs Hunter Heck$104
Figueira Da Foz: Susan Bandecchi vs Alina Charaeva$45
Poznan: Dalibor Svrcina vs Gustavo Heide$25
Top Losers
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$-4,088
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?$-755
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16?$-677
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15?$-675
Spread: Norway (-1.5)$-383
Toronto Tempo vs. Indiana Fever$-376
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26?$-350
Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-27?$-300
Toronto Argonauts vs. Montreal Alouettes$-272
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?$-266
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.292
Sortino
-0.255
HHI
4299
Concentrated
EV per $1
$-0.489
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
56.8%
Top-5 markets
101.3%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
0.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
19/24
Extended
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
31.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.7h
between trades
Night Trading
35%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.81
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.4
Bot Detection
#620
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1914s — normal for humanCV 0.82 — diverse sizes (human-like)35% night trades — never sleeps19/24 hours — extended activity1 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal30% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 21:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
8.5
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)52.1%
Mid (20-55c)25.4%
High (>55c)22.5%
Sessions
#126/17/2026, 3:51:34 PM5 trades$45,4003 min
6/11/2026, 11:19:36 PM6 trades$32,4202 min
6/12/2026, 9:07:33 PM24 trades$29,9890 min
6/28/2026, 5:28:52 AM2 trades$28,9100 min
6/11/2026, 11:07:19 PM3 trades$24,0880 min
6/10/2026, 6:53:03 PM2 trades$10,0000 min
6/17/2026, 3:23:46 PM2 trades$9,9470 min
6/13/2026, 8:08:25 PM11 trades$9,0173 min
6/9/2026, 1:15:43 AM4 trades$7,5844 min
6/14/2026, 3:13:34 AM6 trades$3,1884 min
6/26/2026, 6:42:46 AM12 trades$2,9921 min
6/14/2026, 1:18:58 AM10 trades$1,8101 min
6/15/2026, 10:09:55 PM6 trades$1,4050 min
6/16/2026, 4:42:43 PM2 trades$1,3010 min
6/18/2026, 9:30:34 PM2 trades$1,2570 min
6/14/2026, 5:26:49 PM7 trades$1,1660 min
6/26/2026, 9:12:35 PM4 trades$9772 min
6/17/2026, 12:03:34 AM4 trades$8560 min
6/27/2026, 11:26:46 PM2 trades$8330 min
6/13/2026, 4:58:42 AM6 trades$7830 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
08-18
06-11
06-13
06-15
06-17
06-19
06-26
06-28
07-01
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 17 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
68.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 8.5/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L52.1 / M25.4 / H22.5